Conservapedia proven wrong

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Conservapedia is repeatedly proven right, and even when its predictions appear to be off, the underlying point may still be proven true. This article will keep a running tabulation of predictions that critics of Conservapedia claim were wrong. Since the predictive validity of an incorrect prediction can be mitigated by an ex post justification, space has been provided for Conservapedia editors to provide such a justification under the Conservapedia Response column.

Unlike liberals, Conservatives are willing to admit their mistakes; they don't hide differences of opinion; they concede the existence and value of other perspectives than their own.

Examples of predictions claimed to be incorrect include:

Date of Prognostication Conservapedia Prediction Actual Result Conservapedia's Response Date of Result
Dec. 29, 2009 Fidel Castro has been dead for several years.[1] There has been no public appearance with speaking by Fidel Castro since he checked into a Cuban hospital with a serious illness in 2006, even though he is portrayed privately as being in exemplary health; there have been no recorded spoken words during private appearances, and no claims of any further medical complications. The communist media has released a few pictures of people who are purportedly Fidel Castro -- often, despite hot weather, having scarfs to conceal the age of the neck of the photographed look-alike.[2][3][4] No lamestream media source has contradicted the Communist media's claims that a fit and healthy Fidel exists. Many liberals, including the New York Times, reported on an alleged meeting between Fidel Castro and Pope Benedict XVI on March 28, 2012.[5][6]

A photograph appeared on the front page of Rupert Murdoch's Wall Street Journal on March 29 with the caption "Fidel Castro, an ex-Jesuit-school student, met on Wednesday with Pope Benedict XVI in Havana after the Catholic leader denounced 'fanaticism' and called for an end to Cuba's isolation".

Just as the lamestream media did not criticize, in a timely manner, claims made by the communist government of North Korea that its ruler scored many holes-in-one during a round of golf, the media are silent about implausible claims that Fidel Castro is doing well nearly eight years after he was last seen in public. Notice how there are no reports of Castro being hospitalized anymore.

Prominent liberals and leftist newspapers are reluctant to state clearly that Castro is still alive, and there are no suggestions that Obama should meet with him. A simple comparison of the recent photos with authenticated photos of Castro show numerous differences -- in height, in the shape of the nose, and in a varicose vein and skin spots -- that are not adequately explained by his advanced age. See Mystery:Did a Fake Fidel Castro Meet the Pope?

Feb. 24, 2010 Socialism and same-sex marriage will significantly damage Canada's performance at the 2010 Winter Olympics.[7] Canada sets record for most gold medals by a country in a single Olympics, 14. [8] First host country to win most gold medals since 1952. [9] Third in overall medal count (out of 82 countries). Canada, despite being the host country, was disappointed by its third-place finish in the overall medal count, and struggled even to win the gold medals in men's and women's hockey, its national pasttime. By winning medals in snowboarding, freestyle skiing and other "joke sports," Canada did salvage some national pride by setting a record for the number of gold medals in the off-season games.[8] Feb. 28, 2010
June 1, 2010 Gary Coleman died from alcohol abuse and Hollywood values. No mention of alcohol in cause of death. Death blamed on fall and renal failure.[10] Coleman had suffered from focal segmental glomerulosclerosis, an autoimmune kidney disease, and had undergone two kidney transplants: one in 1973, when he was 5 years old, and another in 1984, when he was 16. The transplants were unsuccessful, and he was on daily dialysis.[11] June 14, 2010
Dec. 10, 2011 Conservapedia predicts Sen. John McCain would endorse Newt Gingrich between the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary.[12] John McCain endorsed Mitt Romney.[13] Conservapedia predicted the timing correctly, and presumably Gingrich's poor showing in the Iowa Caucuses caused McCain, in a surprise, to back Romney. The press conference itself was a disaster, however; McCain does not excite or charm the faithful anymore. He would likely become Romney's Secretary of Defense and dictate his foreign policy. Mitt Romney did worse than polling indicated in New Hampshire after McCain endorsed him. Jan. 4, 2012
Dec. 10, 2011 Conservapedia predicts that the National Right to Life Committee will endorse Newt Gingrich in December 2011.[12] NRTLC withheld its endorsements until it was obvious Mitt Romney would win, and then endorsed him.
Dec. 10, 2011 Conservapedia predicts Mike Huckabee will endorse Newt Gingrich before the Iowa cauacus.[12] As of early March, Huckabee has made no endorsement, and it seems highly unlikely he will endorse Gingrich now that his campaign is faltering. Chuck Norris, Huckabee's biggest supporter in 2008, did subsequently endorse Gingrich. Huckabee himself may be delaying his endorsement of Gingrich due to how the Fox News Channel, which hosts Huckabee's show, cheerleads for Mitt Romney/John McCain.
Dec. 10, 2011 Rick Santorum will endorse Mitt Romney between the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire Primary. [12] Santorum unexpectedly quit the campaign in April and promised to help Romney.
Dec. 11, 2011 Conservapedia predicts Donald Trump would endorse Newt Gingrich for the GOP nomination between the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary.[14] Donald Trump endorsed Mitt Romney.[15] Conservapedia correctly ranked the flaky Donald Trump as an insignificant "3" on a scale of "1" to "10" in endorsement significance, and Conservapedia predicted correctly as to timing and/or substance, and often both, for #5, #7, and #10 in greater significance than Trump. Feb. 2, 2012
Dec. 11, 2011 Conservapedia creates article on the Gingrich administration. Gingrich dropped out of the race; Romney wins Republican nomination.[16][17] As Conservapedia predicted, Romney was not elected, and Gingrich would have been a better nominee. It is not yet known if Gingrich will run again, but Romney will not. May 2, 2012,
Dec. 18, 2011 Conservapedia predicts Sen. Lindsey Graham would endorse Newt Gingrich prior to the South Carolina Primary.[18] Sen. Graham made no candidate endorsement before the primary. Graham stated he didn't plan to support any Republican candidate (and, as of early March, he has not[19]) and explicitly stated he would not endorse Newt Gingrich.[20] Sen. Graham is a Gingrich supporter, but withheld his endorsement until later in the primary process for political reasons. Jan. 21, 2012
Feb. 8, 2012 Conservapedia claims Jeb Bush is the most likely to become the Republican presidential nominee, even though he was not running. He would get the position after a deadlock at the Republican National Convention.[21] Mitt Romney becomes the Republican presidential candidate and loses in the general election to Barack Obama. Jeb Bush would have been a stronger nominee than Mitt Romney, and it remains unexplained why Bush did not run and Republicans did not nominate the stronger candidate. Aug. 28, 2012
Feb. 26, 2012 "Leftists will likely pick George Clooney, a long-time supporter of liberal causes, as 'best actor' at tonight's Academy Awards".[22] French actor (and fellow liberal favorite) Jean Dujardin wins the Academy Award for best actor. [23] Clooney disappointed liberals with remarks about not becoming too active in politics, and another liberal favorite, Brad Pitt, competed for the same prize and likely split the leftist votes. Feb. 26, 2012
Feb. 28, 2012 "Conservapedia predicts that conservative Rick Santorum will defeat RINO Mitt Romney in the crucial Michigan primary today, despite Romney boasting on Sunday that he would win".[24] Mitt Romney wins the Michigan primary with 41% of the popular vote to Rick Santorum's 38%.[25] Romney also won 16 of the state's 30 delegates[26], making him the winner by any measure. Although Santorum won as many districts as Romney, RINOs inexplicably awarded 2 at-large delegates to Romney rather than splitting them fairly;[27] Santorum announced that he will challenge the senseless decision to award both at-large delegates to Romney. RINOs also denied for weeks Santorum's victory in Iowa, which Conservapedia also forecast. Mar. 1, 2012
April 15, 2012 Conservapedia predicts that after Santorum ended his presidential campaign, he would campaign against Newt Gingrich for Mitt Romney.[28] Santorum did not campaign against Gingrich, nor has he endorsed Romney, as of late April. Santorum stayed on the ballot and allowed substantial votes to be cast for him, thereby continuing to prevent Gingrich from gaining support, rather than endorsing Gingrich as Rick Perry did.
May 1, 2012 Conservapedia predicts that Barack Obama will lose reelection due to an "arithmetic pattern": never before has control of the Presidency alternated between political parties in a 2-2-2-2 pattern. Barack Obama was elected to a second term. No one could anticipate that Mitt Romney would inexplicably repudiate pro-life support by foolishly demanding that Todd Akin, the Republican nominee for Senate in Missouri, resign. November 6, 2012
June 27, 2012 Conservapedia predicts that the Supreme Court will find ObamaCare's "key part" to be unconstitutional. [5] [6] The Supreme Court upholds the individual mandate, and limits, but does not strike down, the Medicaid provision. The Court rejected the liberal attempts to justify the constitutionality of the mandate under the Commerce Clause. June 28, 2012
July 28, 2012 Conservapedia claims that news of a pregnant woman competing in the Olympics will not be reported in the "lamestream" media.[29] The story was, in fact, already in the New York Times on 16 July 2012,[30] and in other liberal news sources[31]
July 2012 Conservapedia predicts that Great Britain will under-achieve in the 2012 Olympic Games Team GB completed their best medal haul ever. It was only by racking up medals in joke sports that Great Britain saved some face, when it should have been winning in major sports as the host nation.
August 2012 Conservapedia stated a counterexample to relativity: "Despite wasting millions of taxpayer dollars searching for gravitational waves predicted by the theory, none has ever been found.[32] Sound like global warming?" Gravitational waves were detected [7], confirming a prediction of the theory of relativity. In fact, gravitational waves have not been seen, and the hype in the headline of the liberal media story is undermined by the fine print of the article itself.
November 5, 2012 Conservapedia predicts that "By Tuesday night [Election Night], most American voters will have cast their ballots against Barack Obama."[33] Barack Obama won an absolute majority (50.96%[34]) of all Presidential votes, meaning that more voters cast votes for Obama than for all other candidates combined.[35] The prediction said American voters, not all votes cast.
February 5, 2013 Conservapedia says that the power outage during Super Bowl XLVII was "almost certainly the result of 'limit energy' policies." After investigation, the power outage was attributed to an electrical relay intended to prevent power outages; the threshold for the relay tripping was either set too low or the relay failed. [8][9] Backup generators kicked in immediately as per design,[10] but stadium lights take up to half an hour to reach full power. [11] Additionally, the half time show was powered by a separate pair of generators.[12] No credible source suggests that energy rationing contributed to the outage. Moreover, energy-rationed lights could not be turned back on quickly; no generator kicked in quickly because of how liberals limit the use and size of generators. February 8, 2013
February 11, 2013 Conservapedia predicts next Pope will likely be Cardinal Arinze of Africa.[36] Cardinal Bergoglio of Argentina was elected as Pope Francis, who proved to be one of the most liberal pontiffs of the modern age.[37][38] The selection of another conservative was similar to what Conservapedia predicted, and just as surprising to the liberal "experts". March 13, 2013
January 8, 2013 Conservapedia insists that Hugo Chavez has been dead since December Chavez had certainly been very ill and did die, but not until March, 2013 - a fact contradicted by no one except Conservapedia. Chavez's unembalmed body lay for public viewing for about a week after his death. Had he died in December, his body would have been in no state to be seen, as it would have undergone severe decomposition in that period of time.[39] Venezuela communists published a picture of a very healthy-looking Chavez, but after Conservapedia pointed out that the photo was an obvious fake, the communists decided they could not perpetrate the "Hugo is still alive" scam much longer. March, 2013
March 28, 2013 Conservapedia lists LeBron James on the page Overrated Sports Stars, saying that he "has repeatedly underachieved in key playoff games".[40] LeBron James scored 37 points in Game 7 of the 2013 NBA Finals, leading the Miami Heat to a second consecutive title.[41] James was named Finals MVP as well.[42] Despite intense media overhype, LeBron James and the star-studded Miami Heat were routed by the San Antonio Spurs by 4-1 in the 2014 NBA Finals, including a blowout by nearly 20 points in the finale. June 20, 2013
July 14, 2013 Conservapedia insists the Obama administration will re-prosecute George Zimmerman, suggesting to "wait a few more days and watch the news". [43] Two months later, the Obama administration has not filed charges against Zimmerman, and there is no indication they will do so. August 10, 2013
October 25, 2013 Conservapedia warns "evolutionists and atheists" that October 26, 2013 "is going to be a TERRIBLE day for Darwinism."[44] No news was provided of any significant event pertaining to the evolution-creation controversy on October 26, 2013, and it is likely no such event happened. Rejection of the evolution hoax has sharply increased among Republican primary voters, and liberals have no explanation this recent phenomenon, which results in more conservative election outcomes. October 27, 2013

See also


  1. Talk:Fidel_Castro#Castro_Dead.3F
  8. 8.0 8.1
  11. Gary Coleman dead at 42, May 28, 2010, retrieved April 27, 2012
  12. 12.0 12.1 12.2 12.3
  15. Donald Trump endorses Mitt Romney in Los Vegas Viser, Matt,, February 2, 2012, retrieved February 2, 2012.
  16. [1]
  17. [2]
  28. [3]
  34. This figure is based on claims of counting of mail-in ballots done long after Election Day, without the safeguard of poll-watchers
  37. [4]
  39. Venezuela may be unable to embalm Chavez's remains
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