Essay: Attention anti-American hyper Russophiles/Sinophiles. Time is not on your side

Attention anti-American hyper Russophiles/Sinophiles. Time is not on your side.

Previously, I wrote the essays below:

With China unraveling and both China/Russia facing very difficult problems that they are unlikely to solve such as: their demographic crisis, long-term financial issues, history of bad leadership and corruption, people fleeing their countries who are often the most educated/wealthy, etc, time is definitely on my side.

When a country has a demographic crisis due to an aging population and a brain drain, it has negative effects on society - especially in the long-term (lower labor productivity, less innovation, larger health care costs, lower ability to create/attract companies dependent on a big consumer market, etc.). And a demographic crisis cannot be solved through economic/financial incentives alone (See: Pro-Natal Policies Work, But They Come With a Hefty Price Tag, Institute For Family Studies, 2020).

Labor productivity is a key component of the resilience of an economy, economic growth, technological innovation and a country's standard of living.^[1]^[2]^[3]^[4]

There is currently a talent war in the world due to technology and labor productivity increasing being important in terms of the prosperity of a country.^[5] Countries’ competition for talent is forecasted to become fiercer over the next ten years as both uncertainties and international tensions continue in trade, investment and politics.^[6] And right now, the United States is competitive in this talent war and China/Russia are not which is one of the reasons why people are fleeing China/Russia (See: Top 12 reasons why people are flocking to the USA and leaving the corrupt, authoritarian countries of China and Russia and The world’s best and brightest are flocking to these countries, CNBC, 2023).

Also, as China's economic problems and demographic crisis gets worse, Russia's ability to sell oil to China will diminish (See: Russia's economy and gas and oil profits will be BADLY damaged when China's economy declines).

And if all these things weren't enough for hyper Russophiles, there are the issues related to my essay at: Russian oil: Lower future production/profits due to future higher extraction costs and other inefficiencies.

As a result of these matters and the matters I cover in the essays listed below, one can confidentially say that time is not on the side of hyper Russophiles/Sinophiles. And while I don't wish difficult things to happen to China/Russia, bad previous and current choices in those societies have consequences.

So I am very content to let time unfold and periodically update my essays and largely/completely ignore the rantings of any anti-American hyper Russophile/Sinophile.

"Though the mills of God grind slowly; Yet they grind exceeding small; Though with patience He stands waiting, With exactness grinds He all." - Henry Wadsworth Longfellow

General international politics essays

"Give me liberty, or give me death!" - Patrick Henry

The United States

China

Skepticism about China remaining a global power

It's time to be very bearish about China's long-term economy

The chance that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the US is declining

China has a labor productivity rate that is a WHOLE LOT LOWER than the labor productivity rate of the USA

The rising rule of communist idiocracy in China

China's major economic crisis are signs of major deflationary pressures

According to Investopedia, "Deflation is not normally bad for an economy, except when it occurs in reaction to previous over-inflation."^[7] Unfortunately for China, it has economic bubbles that are bursting in relation to its real estate and stock markets which is causing much economic hardship to many Chinese. Both of these markets had values that were highly inflated relative to their actual economic value. The Empower website notes that deflation "can lead consumers to spend less now, in part because they expect prices to continue to fall; it can push businesses to lower wages or lay off employees to maintain profit levels; and it makes existing debt more expensive for many borrowers.^[8]

Presently, communist China is facing multiple crisis with the three major crisis below being signs of growing deflationary pressures on their economy: