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Essay: The future of secular leftism is bleak

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The recent and likely upcoming rulings of the Supreme Court of the United States do not bode well for the future of secular leftism (anti-abortion, pro school choice, etc.). For example, see: Supreme Court arguments suggest bright future for parental school choice.
It's unlikely that Joe Manchin will to vote for Joe Biden's Build Back Better bill (Unless it is dramatically cut down in size).

See: Liberal MEDIA MELTS DOWN as Manchin KILLS Build Back Better
Joe Biden hides in his bunny hole after his Build Back Better bill goes up in flames (See: Joe Biden Settles into Hiding After Build Back Better Dies).

Biden did not engage with reporters shouting questions about the death of his Build Back Better bill or Sen. Joe Manchin’s (D-WV) declaration that he would not vote for it.
In the 2020 U.S. presidential election, the betting markets were more accurate than the political polls.[1] On October 12, 2021, Newsweek published the article, Donald Trump Favorite to Win 2024 Election With Bookmakers.
The atheist Hemant Mehta said about raising money from fellow nonbelievers: "Meanwhile, I’ve had one hell of a time convincing people to give to the Foundation Beyond Belief — and I help lead that organization."[2] See: Atheist fundraising vs. religious fundraising and Atheism and charity
The sabre-toothed tiger was known for its teeth. Currently, one thing the secular left in America is not known for is their teeth.

Much to the dismay of American, secular leftists, the secular left is now toothless in America.
Young earth creationism
Michelangelo's painting of the creation of the Sun and Moon.

Johns Hopkins University Press reported in 2014: "Over the past forty years, creationism has spread swiftly among European Catholics, Protestants, Jews, Hindus, and Muslims, even as anti-creationists sought to smother its flames."[3]

Global creationism is growing rapidly in the world.

Professor Eric Kaufmann told a secular audience in Australia: "The trends that are happening worldwide inevitably in an age of globalization are going to affect us."[4] See also: Desecularization
The website Marketwatch reported concerning the aftermath of the 2016 presidential race: Donald Trump’s win is causing a surge in demand for mental health services.[5] See: Secular leftists and psychogenic illness

Question: Why is the future of secular leftism bleak?

Professor Eric Kaufmann, who teaches at Birkbeck College, University of London, specializes in the academic area of how demographic changes affect religion/irreligion and politics. Kaufmann is an agnostic.

On December 23, 2012, Kaufmann wrote:

I argue that 97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious.

On the other hand, the secular West and East Asia has very low fertility and a rapidly aging population... In the coming decades, the developed world's demand for workers to pay its pensions and work in its service sector will soar alongside the booming supply of young people in the third world. Ergo, we can expect significant immigration to the secular West which will import religious revival on the back of ethnic change. In addition, those with religious beliefs tend to have higher birth rates than the secular population, with fundamentalists having far larger families. The epicentre of these trends will be in immigration gateway cities like New York (a third white), Amsterdam (half Dutch), Los Angeles (28% white), and London, 45% white British.[6] [7]

At a conference Kaufmann said of religious demographic projections concerning the 21st century:

Part of the reason I think demography is very important, at least if we are going to speak about the future, is that it is the most predictable of the social sciences.

...if you look at a population and its age structure now. You can tell a lot about the future. ...So by looking at the relative age structure of different populations you can already say a lot about the future...

...Religious fundamentalism is going to be on the increase in the future and not just out there in the developing world..., but in the developed world as well.[8]

See also: Religion and migration and Growth of religious fundamentalism

The recent and likely upcoming rulings of the Supreme Court of the United States do not bode well for the future of secular leftism in the United States (pro school choice, anti abortion, etc. For example, see: Supreme Court arguments suggest bright future for parental school choice) Joe Biden's agenda and presidency going nowhere and his administration is the most politically left presidency in American history. And it is unlikely that Joe Manchin is going to back Biden's Build Back Better bill (Unless is dramatically cut down in size). See: Liberal MEDIA MELTS DOWN as Manchin KILLS Build Back Better

In the 2020 U.S. presidential election, the betting markets were more accurate than the political polls.[9] On October 12, 2021, Newsweek published the article, Donald Trump Favorite to Win 2024 Election With Bookmakers. The website Election betting odds correctly predicted the Donald Trump was going to be defeated in the 2020 U.S. presidential election. It now favors Trump winning a 2024 election. The website Marketwatch reported concerning the aftermath of the 2016 presidential race: Donald Trump’s win is causing a surge in demand for mental health services.[10] See: Secular leftists and psychogenic illness

On July 24, 2019, due to religious immigration to the United States and the higher fertility rate of religious people, Eric Kaufmann wrote in an article entitled Why Is Secularization Likely to Stall in America by 2050? A Response to Laurie DeRose: "Overall, the picture suggests that the U.S. will continue to secularize in the coming decades. However, a combination of religious immigration, immigrant religious retention, slowing religious decline due to a rising prevalence of believers among the affiliated, and higher native religious birth rates will result in a plateauing of secularizing trends by mid-century." [11]

In the USA, demographically the religious are going to prevail by 2043 or sooner (see: United States, irreligion vs. religion and demographics).

In 2021, the Christian Post declared:

A new survey reveals that the share of Americans who identify as religiously unaffiliated has declined slightly. However, more Americans still describe themselves as religiously unaffiliated than affiliate with any particular religious tradition.

The Washington, D.C.-based Public Religion Research Institute released its first-ever Census of American Religion Thursday, which provided detailed information about the religious demographics of the United States.

The survey was part of PRRI’s 2020 American Values Atlas, based on phone interviews with 50,334 Americans throughout 2020.

A statement from the research firm alleges that the Census of American Religion “provides the most detailed estimates of American religious affiliation since the U.S. Census Bureau last collected religious data in 1957.” Data was compiled based on more than 400,000 responses to PRRI’s American Values Atlas dating back to 2013.

One of the biggest takeaways from the survey is that “the Rise of the ‘Nones’” has slowed.[12]

In the United States, like Europe, irreligion/nonreligion is going to slow, stall and then reverse (see: European desecularization in the 21st century). Please see: Why the future of Christianity in the USA is bright

In 2017, the atheist activist Lee Moore declared about American atheist organizations:

If you look at the major atheist groups right now, like the national groups, the ones that are doing the real activist work... They are not bringing in the kind of donations they used to. Most of them are starved for cash. They're downsizing left and right. Because people aren't just giving like they used to. And I talked to a lot of the major donors out there and they said, "Well, we're kind of tired of seeing the atheist community just fight amongst itself and not really get anything done. We'd rather not give money if we don't think it's going to go somewhere."[13]

The atheist Hemant Mehta said about raising money from fellow nonbelievers: "Meanwhile, I’ve had one hell of a time convincing people to give to the Foundation Beyond Belief — and I help lead that organization." [14] See: Atheist fundraising vs. religious fundraising and Atheism and charity

The article Internet atheism: The thrill is gone! points out that internet atheism has been in a significant slump since 2011.

So the secular left is toothless in the USA.

In Europe, I see the growth of evangelical/pentecostal Christianity and Islam (along with its attendant Islamic terrorism) and as a result I see the inevitable rise of right-wing populism and desecularization in Europe (See: European desecularization in the 21st century and Militant atheism vs. Christianity, Islam and right-wing ideology). So the secular left is going to lose that battlefront (see: Decline of the secular left).

On the Internet evangelism: Christians vs. atheists front, atheist/agnostics are badly losing. For example, I see Christian, internet evangelism organizations scoring huge successes and major Christian websites surging in web traffic. Meanwhile, internet atheism is languishing and dying.

Global Media Outreach is an internet evangelism ministry.

The Christian internet evangelism organization Global Media Outreach indicates that as of September 2019 over 1,900,000,000 "gospel visits" have occured via their websites.[15] Global Media Outreach works with many Christians around the world (see: Global atheism).

The Christian internet evangelism] organization Network211 indicates that as of September 2019, over 37,000,000 web visits have occured on their websites.[16] Network211 works with many Christians/churches throughout the world.

The Christian Post states:

Online evangelism is producing real disciples for Christ, according to a recent study.

Over half of those who made a decision for Jesus over the Internet have subsequently shared their faith with others, Global Media Outreach's study reveals.

Additionally, 34 percent read their Bibles daily and nearly half pray for at least 10 minutes a day...

The study, called the Christian Growth Index, measured the responses of more than 100,000 people from around the world...

Fifty-one percent of those surveyed said they shared their faith three times or more and 37 percent said they shared their faith at least once or twice.

Global Media Outreach is a global ministry that presents the Gospel online through websites such as WhoisJesus-Really.com and GrowinginChrist.com. There are more than 5,500 trained online missionaries worldwide who respond to questions asked by seekers through emails.[17]

There are other significant Christian internet evangelism efforts as well. For example, the Billy Graham Association is also active in internet evangelism.[18]

Question: Have you read the article: RationalWiki and web traffic?

Johns Hopkins University Press reported in 2014: "Over the past forty years, creationism has spread swiftly among European Catholics, Protestants, Jews, Hindus, and Muslims, even as anti-creationists sought to smother its flames."[19]

Global creationism is surging in the world and creationism is rapidly spreading in Europe.[20] Johns Hopkins University Press reported in 2014: "Over the past forty years, creationism has spread swiftly among European Catholics, Protestants, Jews, Hindus, and Muslims, even as anti-creationists sought to smother its flames."[21]

On October 4, 2014, the Vancouver Sun reported that evolutionism is rejected by hundreds of millions of evangelical Christians and Muslims around the world.[22]

Specifically, the Vancouver Sun declared:

Creationism, a religious world view that adamantly rejects Charles Darwin’s theory of evolution, is on the rise among evangelical Protestants and most of the world’s Muslims.

It is not only the majority of residents in Muslim countries such as Pakistan, Indonesia and Turkey who strongly reject the teaching that humans and other species evolved over millions of years from less complex creatures. So do tens of millions of evangelical Christians in North America (as well as South America and Africa).

Overall, [Nidhal Guessoum, a Middle Eastern physics and astronomy professor] who teaches at the American University of Sharjah in the United Arab Emirates, estimates roughly 60 per cent of the world’s Muslims are creationists, including many living in the U.S. and Canada.

Even though poll results about evolution vary based on the questions asked, Salman Hameed reported in the journal Science that strong anti-evolution majorities exist in Turkey, Indonesia, Malaysia, Egypt and Pakistan. The latter is among Canada’s top six source countries for immigrants...

An Angus-Reid survey found 43 per cent of Americans accept the creationist teaching that the Earth is less than 10,000 years old, which means they reject the...view the universe began roughly 13 billion years ago.[23]

The prominent historian Sir Diarmaid MacCulloch, professor of the History of the Church at Oxford University, indicates that he believes Christianity faces a "bright future" worldwide (See also: Global Christianity). According to MacCulloch, "Christianity, the world's largest religion, is rapidly expanding – by all indications, its future is very bright."[24] See: Future of Christianity

Now I realize that denialism can be a strong force in people. But I would suggest that certain individuals get out of their secular leftist bubble and realize that I have moved on in relation to their wiki. The Apostle Paul wrote: "Do you not know that those who run in a race all run, but only one receives the prize? Run in such a way that you may win. Everyone who competes in the games exercises self-control in all things. They then do it to receive a perishable wreath, but we an imperishable. Therefore I run in such a way, as not without aim; I box in such a way, as not beating the air; but I discipline my body and make it my slave, so that, after I have preached to others, I myself will not be disqualified." (1 Corinthians 9:24-27). RationalWikians, while the portly Trent Toulouse and his fellow RationalWikians waddle from one defeat to another defeat, my fellow Christians and I will continue to sprint from one glorious victory to another glorious victory on the information superhighway!

My fellow Christian conservatives, it is truly a glorious time to be a Christian conservative! Is it not?

In short, on behalf of all Christians, I hereby declare utter and complete victory! Enjoy your declining Alexa rankings Rationalikians while I continue to bask in the glorious victories of Christendom.

The prominent historian Sir Diarmaid MacCulloch, professor of the History of the Church at Oxford University, indicates that he believes Christianity faces a "bright future" worldwide (See also: Global Christianity).

According to MacCulloch, "Christianity, the world's largest religion, is rapidly expanding – by all indications, its future is very bright."[25]

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Notes

  1. markets called the presidential election more accurately than polls, Fortune magazine, 2020
  2. A Few Thoughts About Fundraising
  3. Creationism spreading in Europe
  4. Shall the religious inherit the earth - Festival of Dangerous Ideas - Eric Kaufmann
  5. Trump’s win is causing a surge in demand for mental health services, Marketwatch 2016
  6. London: A Rising Island of Religion in a Secular Sea by Eric Kaufmann, Huffington Post, 2012
  7. 97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious, Tuesday, April 30, 2013
  8. Eric Kaufmann - Religion, Demography and Politics in the 21st Century
  9. markets called the presidential election more accurately than polls, Fortune magazine, 2020
  10. Trump’s win is causing a surge in demand for mental health services, Marketwatch 2016
  11. Why Is Secularization Likely to Stall in America by 2050? A Response to Laurie DeRose by Eric Kaufmann July 24, 2019
  12. Rise of the 'nones,' decline of 'white Christian America' slows in US, new survey shows, Christian Post, 2021
  13. Lee Moore and Steve Shives Talk About the Future of the Atheist Movement, - video quote comes 21 minutes and 13 seconds into the video
  14. A Few Thoughts About Fundraising
  15. Global Media Outreach - Impact
  16. Network211 - visits
  17. Study Reveals Internet Evangelism Is Effective, Christian Post
  18. Billy Graham Association - Internet evangelism
  19. Creationism spreading in Europe
  20. Creationism spreading in Europe
  21. Creationism spreading in Europe
  22. Evolution rejected by hundreds of millions of Muslims and evangelicals, Vancouver Sun, October 4, 2014
  23. Evolution rejected by hundreds of millions of Muslims and evangelicals, Vancouver Sun, October 4, 2014. 9:12 am
  24. Historian predicts 'bright future' for Christianity
  25. Historian predicts 'bright future' for Christianity