Difference between revisions of "United States presidential election, 2016"

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|Severely lacking in charisma.  
 
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|Has criticized the GOP on how it needs to be "smarter" and should emphasize it champions small business instead of big business, term limited to 2016. Jindal announced the formation of an exploratory committee on May 18, 2015.<ref>http://www.cnn.com/2015/05/18/politics/bobby-jindal-forms-exploratory-committee/</ref>
 
|Has criticized the GOP on how it needs to be "smarter" and should emphasize it champions small business instead of big business, term limited to 2016. Jindal announced the formation of an exploratory committee on May 18, 2015.<ref>http://www.cnn.com/2015/05/18/politics/bobby-jindal-forms-exploratory-committee/</ref>
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|[[Donald Trump]]
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|Business smart, name recognition, holds some conservative positions
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|Celebrity type that can be a distraction.
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|A Suffolk University poll of 500 GOPers had Trump in 4th place. <ref>http://dailycaller.com/2015/03/26/trump-touts-new-poll-calls-himself-a-favorite-in-early-primary-states/</ref> Trump has formed an exploratory committee.<ref>https://www.donaldjtrump.com</ref>
 
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|Expanded Medicare, big government supporter, refuses conservative positions on social issues.
 
|Expanded Medicare, big government supporter, refuses conservative positions on social issues.
 
|Former Republican Minnesota Senator Norm Coleman says he is running. No official announcement from Snyder
 
|Former Republican Minnesota Senator Norm Coleman says he is running. No official announcement from Snyder
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|[[Donald Trump]]
 
|Business smart, name recognition, holds some conservative positions
 
|Celebrity type that can be a distraction.
 
|A Suffolk University poll of 500 GOPers had Trump in 4th place. <ref>http://dailycaller.com/2015/03/26/trump-touts-new-poll-calls-himself-a-favorite-in-early-primary-states/</ref>
 
 
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|[[Sarah Palin]]
 
|[[Sarah Palin]]

Revision as of 22:58, May 18, 2015

The 58th United States presidential election will be held on November 8, 2016. The 2016 election will be an open field in the Republican Party. Democrats, as in communist countries, are not expected to have any choice other than Hillary Clinton.

Republican Party candidates

Announced Republican candidates

These individuals have formally announced their candidacy for the Republican nomination in the 2016 presidential election.

Candidate Pros Cons Trending ...
Rand Paul Son of Ron Paul, voted against GOP establishment's spending compromise bills, advocate for cutting spending, can unite libertarians and conservatives, voted against NDAA. Made waves with historic filibuster against CIA director John Brennan over the Obama administration's claimed authority to use drone strikes against US citizens on American soil. Some of his father's more hardcore followers think he's a "traitor" for endorsing Mitt Romney in 2012, voted for Chuck Hagel as Defense Secretary. Supported the Supreme Court's liberal wing when it struck down Section 3 of the Defense of Marriage Act, suggesting he's somewhat supportive of the Homosexual Agenda. Has criticized Paul Ryan and Chris Christie as a potential candidate would, delivered 2013 Tea Party response to the SOTU, which the news media didn't cover. Announced candidacy on April 7, 2015.[1]
Ted Cruz Solid on opposition to Obamacare and gun control. Good debater. Like Obama, some question as to eligibility. As a first-term Senator, relatively inexperienced. Alienated some due to role in government shutdown. Bypassed the exploratory committee process and instead made his formal announcement of candidacy on March 23, 2015.[2]
Marco Rubio Favorite of Fox News, articulate, Hispanic, able to win key battleground state of Florida since he's from there, was on Romney's shortlist in 2012. Probably a stalking horse for Jeb Bush. Rubio will probably pull out of the primaries on the eve of New Hampshire and endorse Jeb Bush.

Rubio used to be a Tea Party favorite when he defeated RINO Charlie Crist, but many have since soured on his actions, endorsed amnesty and has written an amnesty bill with Chuck Schumer and six other Senators, friends with Jeb Bush, denounced Michele Bachmann's investigation into Huma Abedin, supports the party's neoconservative wing which is why he supports sending troops into Syria.

Visited Iowa in December 2012 to speak at Jack Kemp library, delivered GOP response to Obama's 2013 SOTU, put his capital on the line working with seven other Senators on a controversial amnesty plan many conservatives oppose but has now eased away from it. Announced candidacy on April 13, 2015.[3]
Carly Fiorina Former CEO, a good track record of attacking liberalism Failed to win an election as a candidate for Senator, rejected Tea Party support, embraces the establishment GOP. Her entrance in the 2016 campaign would deny Democrats and Hillary Clinton the image of men vs. a women argument, aka 'war on women'. Fiorina formally launched her campaign for the Republican nomination on May 4, 2014.[4]
Ben Carson Plain-spoken, with common-sense solutions to the country's problems Has said states can enact gun control. The world-renowned surgeon made waves by skewering Obama's policies at the White House correspondent's dinner. Carson formally announced his candidacy on May 4, 2015, in Detroit, saying ""I'm Ben Carson, and I'm a candidate for president of the United States."[5]
Mike Huckabee Former Arkansas governor who ran well in the 2008 primaries. Is popular with Evangelicals. He's kept himself in the public eye for the past six and a half years as the host of a news and commentary show on the Fox network. Had a mixed record as governor. He's often considered to be too much of a regional candidate for success in a nationwide campaign. Resigned from his television show to explore a possible run for president. Has begun making TV appearances as a candidate. Huckabee launched an exploratory committee on April 17, 2015. [6] He announced his candidacy on May 5, 2015.[7]

Probable Republican candidates

These individuals have taken formal actions (such as the formation of an exploratory committee) toward establishing candidacy.

Candidate Pros Cons Trending ...
Jeb Bush Able to win Florida, has Hispanic wife and kids, multilingual, backing of Karl Rove though if he doesn't run Rubio will get it. Presumably has the backing of most Bush family members, with the notable exception of his mother, Barbara, who stated, "We've had enough Bushes" during an April 2013 interview[8]. Outspokenly supports amnesty and Common Core, neither Tea Partiers or independent voters want a third Bush, told GOP primary voters they wouldn't elect Reagan today. Might count on Rubio to be a stalking horse because of their friendship but has contradicted Rubio on immigration in his latest book, if he and Clinton are the nominees many voters might gravitate to a third party.
Scott Walker A once-seeming movement conservative who defeated a recall that was pushed by George Soros and the unions, exhibited conservative determination in passing right-to-work in his state and surviving the relentless union attacks that followed. AFL-CIO and the other union special interests have him as a top target, but he stood his ground until recently where he's starting to adopt RINO stances on issues. January 2015 polling showed him leading the GOP field in Iowa.
Rick Perry Strong record of experience as Governor of Texas. Supports Second Amendment. Before the next election he might see a debating coach. Strong fundraiser. Not expanding Medicare to adjust for Obamacare like some other Governors are doing. Performed poorly in the last time, is an also-ran without Rick Santorum's likely momentum in a race that will probably also have multiple other Republican Governors, also signed a state version of the DREAM Act and mandated vaccines for schoolgirls. He has stated that he might run again.
Rick Santorum Strong social conservative base, runner-up in the 2012 primary, by 2016 endorsing RINO-turned-Democrat Arlen Specter will be a distant memory for many because he died in 2012. Strongly opposed to homosexual agenda. May have been a stalking horse for Romney in the last election, which he'll vehemently deny; in 2016 voters may want a new face to lead the party instead of an also-ran, media portrays as fanatic, voted for Bush's spending to be 'part of the team'. Says door is open on Presidential bid, compared his 2012 run to Reagan in 1976. Has founded an organization called Patriot Voices which may serve as a fulcrum for his campaign.
Chris Christie Blunt criticism of teacher's unions won conservatives over for about a year, Ann Coulter supports him. Has high approval ratings in a blue state. Unprofessional style, abrasiveness, severely overweight, praised Obama's Hurricane Sandy efforts only days before the 2012 election, has gotten heat for appointing Sharia judge and having pro-abortion Lieutenant Governor. Not endearing himself to conservatives with his statements on things like gun control.
Lindsey Graham Moderate Senator from South Carolina. Is pro-military and an advocate for a strong national defense. Good public speaker. Widely seen as a liberal on immigration issues. Is considered a clone of Sen. John McCain in the Senate. Announced the formation of a presidential exploratory committee in January 2015.
Bobby Jindal Populist conservative who says conservatives should be skeptical of big business, Indian-American, cleaned up Louisiana after Katrina and Governor Blanco, evangelical who also focuses on energy issues like Perry before him. Severely lacking in charisma. Has criticized the GOP on how it needs to be "smarter" and should emphasize it champions small business instead of big business, term limited to 2016. Jindal announced the formation of an exploratory committee on May 18, 2015.[9]
Donald Trump Business smart, name recognition, holds some conservative positions Celebrity type that can be a distraction. A Suffolk University poll of 500 GOPers had Trump in 4th place. [10] Trump has formed an exploratory committee.[11]

Other possible Republican candidates

These individuals have expressed interest in running or have been mentioned as possible candidates.

Candidate Pros Cons Trending ...
Rick Snyder Governor of Michigan, former businessman and venture capitalist, signed right-to-work legislation in Michigan. Expanded Medicare, big government supporter, refuses conservative positions on social issues. Former Republican Minnesota Senator Norm Coleman says he is running. No official announcement from Snyder
Sarah Palin Very popular with the conservative base, record of cutting the size of government, expert on energy issues. Already experienced on national ticket. Thanks to the media, the electorate has already made up their minds about her. May prefer the role of commentator and not run for her and her children's sakes.
Condoleezza Rice Articulate, popular, foreign policy experience, takes the race and gender cards off the table, gave impassioned speech at the RNC, inspiring childhood story. Pro-choice, ties to Bush administration, never elected to any office, just appointed; left-wing immigration stance, had role leading up to Iraq War, single status will mean she won't have the emotional support of a family for a Presidential run as Laura Bush has said; admired by some conservatives, disliked by others like paleoconservatives and from how Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld have criticized her, she doesn't even have all the neoconservatives wrapped up. Some conservatives would think her running would be a good idea, others won't. She declined to run in 2008 and 2012, but from the speculation she was going to be Romney's VP, she might this time.
John Thune Senator who defeated Tom Daschle, relatively conservative for a Senator. Voted for TARP and often votes for other spending bills the leadership pushes, not well known.
Susana Martinez Gave a good speech at the RNC, conservative Governor of a blue state, Hispanic. Might not be interested, expanded Medicare in her state.
Jan Brewer Former governor of Arizona. If she runs, will use potent immigration issue as foil to Bush and Rubio. Can take its mantle and change debate to pressure other candidates to tack right on the issue. Outspoken critic of Obama. May not be interested in the Presidency, expanded Medicare waiver for Obamacare, and is no longer in elective office. Has lost some support from conservatives.
Kelly Ayotte Represents a swing state Voted in favor of amnesty If Rubio is the Presidential nominee, he's likely to make Ayotte his running mate hoping the ticket will appeal to two swing states (Florida and New Hampshire), Hispanics, and women, offsetting Hillary with the last group. Both Rubio and Ayotte have been taken under the wings of McCain and Graham since getting in the Senate.
Allen West Conservative black Congressman from Florida who speaks his mind, some conservative activists insist that he run. Lost his race for re-election to the House two years after getting voted in. Has compared his loss to Abraham Lincoln's before he became President in a radio interview.
Brian Sandoval Hispanic, fiscal conservative Pro-choice, expanded Medicare in his state, Harry Reid doesn't seem to mind his performance as Governor [12].
John Kasich Two-term Ohio Governor, former U.S. House of Representative Expanded Medicare in his state, said the Bible supports Obamacare, D.C. beltway insider.

Democratic Party candidates

Announced Democratic candidates

These individuals have formally announced their candidacy for the Democratic nomination in the 2016 presidential election.

Candidate Pros Cons Trending ...
Hillary Clinton Has wanted to be President for decades, has Clinton machine and big money behind her, teflon image helped along by the media, quitting Secretary of State position lets her run, she will have the "sexist" card at her disposal. Role in Benghazi and decades worth of scandals going back to the 90s, feminist. Announced candidacy on April 12, 2015.[13]
Bernie Sanders Independent that is lockstep with the Democrat party. Popular among socialists. As head of the Veterans Affairs Committee, he has done nothing to fix scandals and help veterans. Endorses Obama's policies. At a press conference on April 30, 2015, Sanders announced that he is running for the Democratic nomination. He plans an "official launch" on May 26.[14]

Democrats will not have a choice other than liberal Hillary Clinton. If a competitive race were allowed by the party bosses (and it won't be), the candidates mentioned below her could be contenders:

Probable Democratic candidates

These individuals have taken formal actions (such as the formation of an exploratory committee) toward establishing candidacy.

Candidate Pros Cons Trending ...
Martin O'Malley Former governor of Maryland. Partisan and aggressive liberal. Martin who? He has low name recognition. Fiercely supports raising taxes and other very liberal stances, although that might help in the primary.
Jim Webb Former Virginia Senator and Secretary of the Navy
Lincoln Chafee Former governor of Rhode Island, former Republican During an interview with CNN on April 16, 2015, Chafee said, "I'm running." However, his spokesperson later said that he had not officially declared his candidacy.[15]

Other possible Democratic candidates

These individuals have expressed interest in running or have been mentioned as possible candidates.

Candidate Pros Cons Trending ...
Joe Biden Tries to set image as he's "one of the folks" even though he's a millionaire. He'll have Obama's Chicago machine. Incumbent VPs often receive the party nomination Very gaffe-prone, VP to an unpopular administration. Currently yukking it up as Obama's Vice-President and has openly expressed some interest in running. Hasn't talked about running...yet. Should be good seeing how he and Hillary deal with each other on the stage if they both run.
Andrew Cuomo Tried to make himself look like a fiscal conservative, he's part of a political family like Jeb and Hillary, governor of a large state. Uncompelling, declared intentions to seize guns from lawful gun owners, which he's used executive orders to do. His late father, the former Governor, said he expected him to run. His gun confiscating executive orders are not sitting well with the American people by and large.
Mark Warner Senator from a swing state with a relatively moderate record compared to others, might try to get points with independents that the other Democrats won't have. He votes with his party most of the time, voted for gun control even though he claims to be pro-gun.
Elizabeth Warren Popular in Occupy Wall Street and other progressive circles, elected in very competitive Senate race. Caught lying about being a Native American so she could get affirmative action at Harvard, her very liberal views and rhetoric probably won't resonate in states less liberal than Massachusetts. Won election to the Senate in November 2012 against Scott Brown.
Evan Bayh Represented a state that generally votes Republican

References

  1. http://www.c-span.org/video/?325139-1/senator-rand-paul-rky-presidential-campaign-announcement
  2. http://www.c-span.org/video/?324979-1/ted-cruz-presidential-campaign-announcement
  3. http://www.c-span.org/video/?325251-1/senator-marco-rubio-rfl-presidential-campaign-announcement
  4. http://www.wsj.com/articles/carly-fiorina-im-running-for-president-1430739879
  5. http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/05/04/ben-carson-tells-tv-station-is-running-for-president/
  6. http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/huckabee-set-to-announce-claims-ive-beaten-clinton-political-machine/article/2563219
  7. http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/05/05/huckabee-announces-2016-white-house-bid/
  8. http://www.nbcnews.com/video/nightly-news/51667537#51667537
  9. http://www.cnn.com/2015/05/18/politics/bobby-jindal-forms-exploratory-committee/
  10. http://dailycaller.com/2015/03/26/trump-touts-new-poll-calls-himself-a-favorite-in-early-primary-states/
  11. https://www.donaldjtrump.com
  12. http://blogs.rgj.com/politics/2013/02/20/reid-says-hell-run-for-re-election-in-2016-wont-comment-on-sandoval-as-opponent/
  13. https://www.hillaryclinton.com
  14. http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/04/29/vermont-sen-bernie-sanders-am-running-for-president/
  15. http://www.cnn.com/2015/04/16/politics/lincoln-chafee-running-for-president/index.html