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→United States, irreligion vs. religion, demographics and desecularization
Now in stark contrast to all of this, Kaufmann's data projects that secularists consistently exemplify a low fertility rate of around 1.5 percent per couple, which is significantly below the replacement level of 2.1 percent. And so he sees a steady decline of secular populations after 2030 or 2050 to potentially no more than a mere 14 to 15 percent of the American population. He notices that similar projections apply to Europe as well.<ref>[http://www.christianpost.com/news/feminist-futility-why-the-womens-march-promises-a-conservative-future-173350/ Feminist Futility: Why the Women's March Promises a Conservative Future] by Steve Turley, ''Christian Post''</ref>}}
Now in stark contrast to all of this, Kaufmann's data projects that secularists consistently exemplify a low fertility rate of around 1.5 percent per couple, which is significantly below the replacement level of 2.1 percent. And so he sees a steady decline of secular populations after 2030 or 2050 to potentially no more than a mere 14 to 15 percent of the American population. He notices that similar projections apply to Europe as well.<ref>[http://www.christianpost.com/news/feminist-futility-why-the-womens-march-promises-a-conservative-future-173350/ Feminist Futility: Why the Women's March Promises a Conservative Future] by Steve Turley, ''Christian Post''</ref>}}
Darel E. Paul wrote at the [[First Things]] website:
{{Cquote|Even without demographic models, survey data since the 1970s show that the percentage of Americans with a “strong” religious affiliation has not declined at all; it is the “weak” that have turned into “[[none]]s.” Moreover, immigration brings primarily religious people from the Global South into the Global North. In his earlier book, Kaufmann predicted that America’s secular high-water mark will occur around 2030; in Western Europe, no later than 2070. In Kaufmann’s view, religious identity will largely overpower ethnic identity a century hence, “with seculars and moderates of all backgrounds lining up against the fundamentalist sects.”<ref>[https://www.firstthings.com/article/2019/11/the-future-is-mixed THE FUTURE IS MIXED] by Darel E. Paul, First Things website</ref>}}
In 2012, Kaufmann wrote:
In 2012, Kaufmann wrote: