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426 bytes added ,  20:30, August 12, 2012
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|Will countries that have implemented same-sex marriage underperform? (See below for a more lengthy explanation)
 
|Will countries that have implemented same-sex marriage underperform? (See below for a more lengthy explanation)
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|Too early to tell. Listed below are the country's medal totals for the last Olympics prior to implementing same sex-marriage (which can be seen as a fair proxy for their totals this year), along with actual totals for this year so far. Denmark, Canada, and Sweden have already overperformed, while South Africa has equaled expectations. For the others, it's too early to tell, although it's unlikely Norway, Iceland, the Netherlands, or Belgium will overperform. To support the claim that there is a correlation, there should be a statistically significant difference in the total number of medals won by those countries.  Another result would indicate that there is not enough evidence to suggest a correlation.
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|The total number of medals went down by four, out of 94 originally, a decrease of 4.3%. However, this decrease might not be statistically significant. It is not small enough that it is definitely irrelevant, but it is not large enough that it is significant by itself. If these nations (and other nations who legalize same-sex marriage in the next four years) continue to show decreases in 2016, that will support the hypothesis. In this year, the data is insufficient to support any conclusion by itself. Although the data does not show that there is definitely a correlation, it is also insufficient to show that there is not. However, in the absence of proof to the contrary, no correlation should be assumed to exist. To support the claim that there is a correlation, there should be a statistically significant difference in the total number of medals won by those countries.  Another result would indicate that there is not enough evidence to suggest a correlation. A difference of 4.3%, in one sample set, is insufficient by itself. This experiment would need to be repeated in future years to find any correlation that may exist.  
 
: Argentina - 6 in 2008, 4 in 2012  
 
: Argentina - 6 in 2008, 4 in 2012  
 
: Belgium - 5 in 2000, 3 in 2012
 
: Belgium - 5 in 2000, 3 in 2012
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: Portugal - 2 in 2008, 1 in 2012
 
: Portugal - 2 in 2008, 1 in 2012
 
: South Africa - 6 in 2004, 6 in 2012
 
: South Africa - 6 in 2004, 6 in 2012
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: Spain - 19 in 2004, 16 in 2012
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: Spain - 19 in 2004, 17 in 2012
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: Sweden - 5 in 2008, 7 in 2012
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: Sweden - 5 in 2008, 8 in 2012
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: Total - 94 expected, 88 actual
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: Total - 94 expected, 90 actual
    
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