Difference between revisions of "User:Ferret/2016ElectionOdds"
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(Sanders & Cruz eat into Clinton, close in on Trump) |
(Sanders closes gap on Clinton, overtakes Trump for second place) |
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| Line 11: | Line 11: | ||
! 5 April 2016 | ! 5 April 2016 | ||
! 6 April 2016 | ! 6 April 2016 | ||
| + | ! 7 April 2016 | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Donald Trump | | Donald Trump | ||
| Line 22: | Line 23: | ||
| 13.1% | | 13.1% | ||
| 12.9% | | 12.9% | ||
| + | | 12.6% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Marco Rubio | | Marco Rubio | ||
| Line 27: | Line 29: | ||
| 3.2% | | 3.2% | ||
| 2.5% | | 2.5% | ||
| + | | 0.0% | ||
| 0.0% | | 0.0% | ||
| 0.0% | | 0.0% | ||
| Line 44: | Line 47: | ||
| 7.1% | | 7.1% | ||
| 7.7% | | 7.7% | ||
| + | | 7.4% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| John Kasich | | John Kasich | ||
| Line 55: | Line 59: | ||
| 5.7% | | 5.7% | ||
| 5.6% | | 5.6% | ||
| + | | 5.5% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Paul Ryan | | Paul Ryan | ||
| Line 66: | Line 71: | ||
| 2.5% | | 2.5% | ||
| 2.5% | | 2.5% | ||
| + | | 2.4% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Mitt Romney | ||
| + | | | ||
| + | | | ||
| + | | | ||
| + | | | ||
| + | | | ||
| + | | | ||
| + | | | ||
| + | | | ||
| + | | | ||
| + | | 0.8% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| '''Republican Total''' | | '''Republican Total''' | ||
| Line 76: | Line 94: | ||
| '''28.8%''' | | '''28.8%''' | ||
| '''28.3%''' | | '''28.3%''' | ||
| + | | '''28.7%''' | ||
| '''28.7%''' | | '''28.7%''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Line 88: | Line 107: | ||
| 59.0% | | 59.0% | ||
| 56.1% | | 56.1% | ||
| + | | 54.5% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Bernie Sanders | | Bernie Sanders | ||
| Line 99: | Line 119: | ||
| 10.6% | | 10.6% | ||
| 12.0% | | 12.0% | ||
| + | | 13.6% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Joe Biden | | Joe Biden | ||
| Line 109: | Line 130: | ||
| 2.1% | | 2.1% | ||
| 2.1% | | 2.1% | ||
| + | | 3.2% | ||
| 3.2% | | 3.2% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Line 121: | Line 143: | ||
| '''71.7%''' | | '''71.7%''' | ||
| '''71.3%''' | | '''71.3%''' | ||
| − | + | | '''71.3%''' | |
|- | |- | ||
| Michael Bloomberg | | Michael Bloomberg | ||
| Line 127: | Line 149: | ||
| 2.0% | | 2.0% | ||
| 2.1% | | 2.1% | ||
| + | | 0.0% | ||
| 0.0% | | 0.0% | ||
| 0.0% | | 0.0% | ||
| Line 138: | Line 161: | ||
| '''2.0%''' | | '''2.0%''' | ||
| '''2.1%''' | | '''2.1%''' | ||
| + | | '''0.0%''' | ||
| '''0.0%''' | | '''0.0%''' | ||
| '''0.0%''' | | '''0.0%''' | ||
Revision as of 11:16, April 7, 2016
| Candidate | 5 March 2016 | 7 March 2016 | 13 March 2016 | 16 March 2016 | 25 March 2016 | 27 March 2016 | 31 March 2016 | 5 April 2016 | 6 April 2016 | 7 April 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 26.6% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 21.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% |
| Marco Rubio | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Cruz | 2.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| John Kasich | 1.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% |
| Paul Ryan | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | ||||
| Mitt Romney | 0.8% | |||||||||
| Republican Total | 35.9% | 34.7% | 32.1% | 31.7% | 31.9% | 29.6% | 28.8% | 28.3% | 28.7% | 28.7% |
| Hilary Clinton | 57.6% | 56.0% | 57.0% | 60.3% | 61.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | 59.0% | 56.1% | 54.5% |
| Bernie Sanders | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.6% |
| Joe Biden | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Democrat Total | 62.0% | 63.2% | 65.8% | 68.2% | 68.1% | 70.4% | 71.2% | 71.7% | 71.3% | 71.3% |
| Michael Bloomberg | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Independent Total | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |