Difference between revisions of "User:Ferret/2016ElectionOdds"

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(Trump and Cruz firm for GOP, Sanders wanes)
(Field thins - Trump and Clinton in control)
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'''Probabilities from 5 March'''
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| '''0.0%'''
 
| '''0.0%'''
 
| '''0.0%'''
 
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'''Probabilities from 28 April'''
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{| class="wikitable"
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|-
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! Candidate
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! 28 April 2016
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|-
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| Donald Trump
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| 21.0%
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|-
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| Ted Cruz
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| 3.9%
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|-
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| John Kasich
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| 1.8%
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|-
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| '''Republican Total'''
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| '''26.7%'''
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|-
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| Hilary Clinton
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| 68.8%
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|-
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| Bernie Sanders
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| 3.1%
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|-
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| Joe Biden
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| 1.5%
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|-
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| '''Democrat Total'''
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| '''73.3%'''
 
|}
 
|}

Revision as of 12:23, April 28, 2016

Probabilities from 5 March

Candidate 5 March 2016 7 March 2016 13 March 2016 16 March 2016 25 March 2016 27 March 2016 31 March 2016 5 April 2016 6 April 2016 7 April 2016 14 April 2016
Donald Trump 26.6% 21.0% 20.1% 20.4% 21.4% 21.0% 14.1% 13.1% 12.9% 12.6% 14.2%
Marco Rubio 5.8% 3.2% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ted Cruz 2.5% 6.5% 4.5% 4.1% 4.1% 4.0% 6.5% 7.1% 7.7% 7.4% 9.5%
John Kasich 1.1% 4.0% 5.0% 7.2% 5.0% 3.2% 5.7% 5.7% 5.6% 5.5% 3.7%
Paul Ryan 1.4% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 1.1%
Mitt Romney 0.8% 0.6%
Republican Total 35.9% 34.7% 32.1% 31.7% 31.9% 29.6% 28.8% 28.3% 28.7% 28.7% 29.0%
Hilary Clinton 57.6% 56.0% 57.0% 60.3% 61.0% 60.0% 60.6% 59.0% 56.1% 54.5% 60.0%
Bernie Sanders 3.3% 5.6% 7.1% 5.8% 5.0% 8.4% 8.5% 10.6% 12.0% 13.6% 8.5%
Joe Biden 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 3.2% 3.2% 2.5%
Democrat Total 62.0% 63.2% 65.8% 68.2% 68.1% 70.4% 71.2% 71.7% 71.3% 71.3% 71.0%
Michael Bloomberg 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Independent Total 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Probabilities from 28 April

Candidate 28 April 2016
Donald Trump 21.0%
Ted Cruz 3.9%
John Kasich 1.8%
Republican Total 26.7%
Hilary Clinton 68.8%
Bernie Sanders 3.1%
Joe Biden 1.5%
Democrat Total 73.3%