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| | <ref>Hansen's group at the Goddard Institute wrote, "Global warming is now 0.6 °C [1.0 °F] in the past three decades and 0.8 °C [1.4 °F] in the past century." http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2005/</ref> | | <ref>Hansen's group at the Goddard Institute wrote, "Global warming is now 0.6 °C [1.0 °F] in the past three decades and 0.8 °C [1.4 °F] in the past century." http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2005/</ref> |
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| | + | According to temperature reconstruction made within an evolutionary paradigm, there have been many cycles of naturally-caused global warming and cooling over many millions of years (see [[climate cycles]]). Some scientists, including [[Richard Lindzen]] of [[MIT]], [[Sallie Baliunas]] of [[Harvard]] and [[Fred Singer]] (independent), say that the recent warming could be part of another natural cycle or random fluctuations in the atmosphere. However, a lot scientists also think that human activities were most likely the cause of the the planet's recent warming. |
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| − | Assessments by the [[United Nations]] promote the view that most of the warming since around 1850 is likely human-caused. In February, 2007, the [[IPCC|Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change]], a body of scientists<ref>http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/chi-0704280477apr29,1,4275902.story?coll=chi-newsnationworld-hed</ref> established by the [[United Nations]], released their fourth assessment report on climate change. That report concluded that most of recent global warming was "very likely" caused by human activity<ref>http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6321351.stm</ref>. It says that increases in atmospheric concentrations of [[greenhouse gas]]es cause warming. | + | Assessments by the [[United Nations]] promote the view that most of the warming since around 1850 is likely human-caused. In February, 2007, the politicized [[IPCC|Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change]], a body of scientists<ref>http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/chi-0704280477apr29,1,4275902.story?coll=chi-newsnationworld-hed</ref> established by the [[United Nations]], but whose members were appointed by their governments, released their fourth assessment report on climate change. That report concluded that most of recent global warming was "very likely" caused by human activity<ref>http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6321351.stm</ref>. It says that increases in atmospheric concentrations of [[greenhouse gas]]es cause warming. Several members of this panel later complained their contributions were misrepresented in the final report. |
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| − | According to temperature reconstruction made within an evolutionary paradigm, there have been many cycles of naturally-caused global warming and cooling over many millions of years (see [[climate cycles]]). Some scientists, including [[Richard Lindzen]] of [[MIT]], [[Sallie Baliunas]] of [[Harvard]] and [[Fred Singer]] (independent), say that the recent warming could be part of another natural cycle or random fluctuations in the atmosphere. However, a lot scientists also think that human activities were most likely the cause of the the planet's recent warming.
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| | ==The Hockey Stick Temperature Reconstruction== | | ==The Hockey Stick Temperature Reconstruction== |
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| | Several prominent scientists have pointed out the [[politicized science]] of the UN's assessment methods. The scientific reports are submitted to a panel of representatives appointed by each country in the IPCC. Several scientists whose research demonstrates that climate change is taking place have complained about their work being misrepresented by the U.N. | | Several prominent scientists have pointed out the [[politicized science]] of the UN's assessment methods. The scientific reports are submitted to a panel of representatives appointed by each country in the IPCC. Several scientists whose research demonstrates that climate change is taking place have complained about their work being misrepresented by the U.N. |
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| − | 58% of the 279 climate scientists working at US federal agences who responded to a survey by The Union of Concerned Scientists reported 435 incidents of political interference over the past five years and that they had experienced at least one of these constraints: | + | 58% of the 279 climate scientists working at US federal agencies who responded to a survey by The Union of Concerned Scientists reported 435 incidents of political interference over the past five years and that they had experienced at least one of these constraints: |
| | * “Pressure to eliminate the words ‘climate change,’ ‘global warming’, or other similar terms” from their communications. | | * “Pressure to eliminate the words ‘climate change,’ ‘global warming’, or other similar terms” from their communications. |
| | * Editing of scientific reports by their superiors which “changed the meaning of scientific findings”. | | * Editing of scientific reports by their superiors which “changed the meaning of scientific findings”. |
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| | * “New or unusual administrative requirements that impair climate-related work”. | | * “New or unusual administrative requirements that impair climate-related work”. |
| | * “Situations in which scientists have actively objected to, resigned from, or removed themselves from a project because of pressure to change scientific findings.” | | * “Situations in which scientists have actively objected to, resigned from, or removed themselves from a project because of pressure to change scientific findings.” |
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| − | However, those who believe that either global warming is not a real phenomenon or that humanity's contribution to it has been overstated have made similar complaints. The UCS states in its report about the IPCC <ref> http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science/the-ipcc.html </ref>
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| − | <blockquote>Climate contrarians frequently claim that the IPCC produces politically motivated reports that show only one side of the issues. Given the many stages at which experts from across the political and scientific spectrum are included in the process, however, this is a difficult position to defend. </blockquote>
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| − | <blockquote> Furthermore, according to IPCC principles, lead authors are “required to record views in the text which are scientifically or technically valid, even if they cannot be reconciled with a consensus view.”</blockquote>
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| − | There is widely held belief among the American public that global warming is a reality. A poll conducted March 11-14 of 2007 found that the majority of the American public (59%) believes we are already seeing the effects of global warming, an additional 3% and 8% respectively believe they will see the effects with in a few years or within their lifetime, and 19% believe that global warming will be seen, not in their lifetime, but in future generations—only a small minority (8%) believe that global warming will never happen. <ref>Poling report on Gallup poll for March 11-14, 2007[http://www.pollingreport.com/enviro.htm]</ref>.
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| − | The fossil-fuel industry could be adversely affected by global warming legislation. Exxon-Mobil has been accused of supporting research on global warming, and some of that has differed from conventional wisdom. <ref>http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/global_warming/exxon_report.pdf</ref> <ref>http://www.net.org/warming/skeptic.vtml </ref> <ref>http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/listorganizations.php</ref>.
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| | == Scientists == | | == Scientists == |