That is, the probability that the prize is behind door 1, given that Monty opens door 2, is 1/3, so the probability that it is behind door 3 is 2/3. Thus, the contestant should switch. The logic applies equally if Monty opens door 3. | That is, the probability that the prize is behind door 1, given that Monty opens door 2, is 1/3, so the probability that it is behind door 3 is 2/3. Thus, the contestant should switch. The logic applies equally if Monty opens door 3. |