Difference between revisions of "Talk:Expert Error"
(→United States Patent Office: new section) |
(→Irving Fisher: new section) |
||
| Line 23: | Line 23: | ||
[[User:FrankC|FrankC aka ComedyFan]] 09:57, 25 December 2009 (EST) | [[User:FrankC|FrankC aka ComedyFan]] 09:57, 25 December 2009 (EST) | ||
| + | |||
| + | == Irving Fisher == | ||
| + | |||
| + | The quotes I found were: | ||
| + | |||
| + | # "There may be a recession in stock prices, but not anything in the nature of a crash." New York Times, Sept. 5, 1929 | ||
| + | |||
| + | # "Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau. I do not feel there will be soon if ever a 50 or 60 point break from present levels, such as (bears) have predicted. I expect to see the stock market a good deal higher within a few months." Oct. 17, 1929 | ||
| + | |||
| + | Though this was obviously wrong, he didn't say that ''stock prices would never decrease.'' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[User:FrankC|FrankC aka ComedyFan]] 10:13, 25 December 2009 (EST) | ||
Revision as of 15:13, December 25, 2009
Should we mention the rejection of Semmelweiss and his notion that an "invisible substance" carried on doctor's hands was causing childbed fever?
Or the resistance of climate change theorists to acknowledge the flaws in the hockey stick graph? --Ed Poor Talk 15:36, 24 December 2009 (EST)
- I think the whole climategate scandal has exposed all the climate 'experts', but the question is whether this was down to error or deceit. TrondE 17:19, 24 December 2009 (EST)
- I agree with TrondE that ClimateGate definitely belongs under deceit, not this page. But I'm definitely voting to include Ed's suggestions, I think they're great examples! JacobB 17:31, 24 December 2009 (EST)
United States Patent Office
Leading scientists recommending around 1900 that the United States Patent Office should be abolished because everything useful had been invented.
I couldn't find any corroboration for this: the idea for this entry seems to be an alleged quote of Charles Duell, U.S. Patent Commissioner, 1899:
"Everything that can be invented has been invented."
But though this quotation is fairly widespread, it seems to be entirely made up:
So, I'll slap an {{source}}-tag on this entry, until someone is more successful in finding recommendations of leading scientists than I was.
Everything you post must be true and verifiable
FrankC aka ComedyFan 09:57, 25 December 2009 (EST)
Irving Fisher
The quotes I found were:
- "There may be a recession in stock prices, but not anything in the nature of a crash." New York Times, Sept. 5, 1929
- "Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau. I do not feel there will be soon if ever a 50 or 60 point break from present levels, such as (bears) have predicted. I expect to see the stock market a good deal higher within a few months." Oct. 17, 1929
Though this was obviously wrong, he didn't say that stock prices would never decrease.
FrankC aka ComedyFan 10:13, 25 December 2009 (EST)