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The obvious reason for the failure was a fundamental misunderstanding of the size, development and importance of the Russian economy. The idea that Russia was "a gas station with [[nuke]]s," had sunk into the [[Western civilization|Western]] received wisdom. Former President [[Barack Obama]] said that "Russia doesn't make anything," while the idea that Russia's economy was "about the size of [[Italy]]'s" was commonplace, adding to the sense that Russia would be an economic pushover.  
 
The obvious reason for the failure was a fundamental misunderstanding of the size, development and importance of the Russian economy. The idea that Russia was "a gas station with [[nuke]]s," had sunk into the [[Western civilization|Western]] received wisdom. Former President [[Barack Obama]] said that "Russia doesn't make anything," while the idea that Russia's economy was "about the size of [[Italy]]'s" was commonplace, adding to the sense that Russia would be an economic pushover.  
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Russia treated economic pressure as an opportunity to accelerate import substitution, develop alternative [[supply chain]]s through [[China]] and [[Central Asia]], and convert [[civilian]] factories to [[military]] production. The result? By 2024, Russia was producing [[artillery]] shells at fifteen times its pre-war rate, manufacturing twenty thousand [[drone]]s monthly, and assembling [[tank]]s at rates exceeding [[Western alliance|Western]] production despite [[economics sanctions]] intended to cripple Russia's defense industry. Where Western planners assumed quick victory or collapse, [[Moscow]] prepared for years of grinding warfare.
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Russia treated economic pressure as an opportunity to accelerate import substitution, develop alternative [[supply chain]]s through [[China]] and [[Central Asia]], and convert [[civilian]] factories to [[military]] production. The result? By 2024, Russia was producing [[artillery]] shells at fifteen times its pre-war rate, manufacturing twenty thousand [[drone]]s monthly, and assembling [[tank]]s at rates exceeding [[Western alliance|Western]] production despite [[economic sanctions]] intended to cripple Russia's defense industry. Where Western planners assumed quick victory or collapse, [[Moscow]] prepared for years of grinding warfare.
    
==Russian GDP growth==
 
==Russian GDP growth==
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