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| | ''[[Yale University|Yale]] Daily News'' reported in an article entitled ''White Europeans: An endangered species?'' that "Without a major shift in the current fertility trends, industrialized Europe will see its native population decline by about three-fourths over the 21st century."<ref>[http://yaledailynews.com/blog/2008/02/27/white-europeans-an-endangered-species/ ''White Europeans: An endangered species?''] By Trevor Wagener, ''Yale Daily News'', February 27, 2008</ref> See also: [[Global atheism|Decline of global atheism]] and [[Global Christianity]] | | ''[[Yale University|Yale]] Daily News'' reported in an article entitled ''White Europeans: An endangered species?'' that "Without a major shift in the current fertility trends, industrialized Europe will see its native population decline by about three-fourths over the 21st century."<ref>[http://yaledailynews.com/blog/2008/02/27/white-europeans-an-endangered-species/ ''White Europeans: An endangered species?''] By Trevor Wagener, ''Yale Daily News'', February 27, 2008</ref> See also: [[Global atheism|Decline of global atheism]] and [[Global Christianity]] |
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| − | See also:
| + | == Future of Islam in Europe and the desecularization of Europe == |
| | + | [[File:StarCresent.png|thumbnail|200px|right|According to Pew Forum, by 2030 Muslims are projected to make up 8% of Europe’s population.<ref>[http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/11/17/5-facts-about-the-muslim-population-in-europe/ 5 facts about the Muslim population in Europe] by Conrad Hackett, Pew Forum, November 17, 2015</ref>]] |
| | + | According to Pew Forum: |
| | + | {{cquote| In recent decades, the Muslim share of the population throughout Europe grew about 1 percentage point a decade, from 4% in 1990 to 6% in 2010. This pattern is expected to continue through 2030, when Muslims are projected to make up 8% of Europe’s population.<ref>[http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/11/17/5-facts-about-the-muslim-population-in-europe/ 5 facts about the Muslim population in Europe] by Conrad Hackett, Pew Forum, November 17, 2015</ref>}} |
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| − | *[[Secular Europe|Growth of evangelical Christianity in Europe]]
| + | Professor Philip Jenkins at Penn State University projects that by 2100, Muslims will be about 25% of Europe's population. Jenkins indicates that this figure does not take account divergent birthrates amongst Europe's various immigrant Christians.<ref>Philip Jenkins, ''Demographics, Religion, and the Future of Europe'', Orbis: A Journal of World Affairs, vol. 50, no. 3, pp. 533, summer 2006</ref> |
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| − | *[[British atheism#Signs pointing towards a dramatic decline of British atheism in the 21st century|Signs pointing towards a decline of British atheism in the 21st century]]
| + | In April of 2010, Eric Kaufmann indicated concerning the future of Islam in Europe: |
| | + | {{cquote|I address this in some detail in the book, as well is in a [http://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/features/europes-muslim-future recent article in the April issue of Prospect magazine] here in Britain. The short answer is that I don’t foresee a Muslim-majority Europe in this century or in the next. Why? Mainly because [[Islam|Muslim]] birthrates are plunging both in Europe and the Muslim world. Already, Iran, Tunisia, Turkey, Azerbaijan and several other Muslim countries have replacement-level fertility or below. In the UK, Bangladeshi and Pakistani fertility has halved in a generation and is now under 3 children per woman. This means their long-term growth will begin to tail off. The other part of the equation is the rise of non-Muslim immigrant groups (African and West Indian Christians, Hindus, Buddhists and other Eastern faiths) who are also increasing and therefore making Europe more plural and, in the process, rendering it harder for Muslims to increase their share of the population. |
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| | + | That said, Muslim membership retention and in-group marriage is exceptionally high (over 90 per cent) and they are a much younger population than the host society. So they are on course for steady growth. My colleagues and I expect their fertility to fall to host levels by 2030, but they will still make up 5-15 per cent of most West European countries by 2050 and 10-25 per cent by 2100. This is a major change from the 2-6 per cent levels of today<ref>[http://www.mercatornet.com/articles/view/shall_the_religious_inherit_the_earth/#sthash.nE0JGi2Y.dpuf ''Shall the religious inherit the earth?''], 2010 Interview with [[Eric Kaufmann] by MercatorNet</ref>}} |
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| | + | === Investor's Business Daily on the flood of Muslim immigrants to Europe === |
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| | + | Investor's Business Daily wrote in 2015 concerning a flood of Muslim immigrants to the European Union: |
| | + | {{cquote|The European Union is bracing for as many as 800,000 mostly Muslim refugees arriving from the chaos in the Middle East this year, mainly Syria, Iraq and Eritrea. |
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| | + | And it may be just the beginning. Can the EU withstand such a religio-demographic earthquake? Its failure to enforce any concept of borders isn't a good sign.... |
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| | + | Assimilation offers little hope. Parts of France — especially its notorious banlieues outside major cities like Paris — are virtual no-go zones. London's are little better. Italy, Germany, the Netherlands and Scandinavia all have large, unassimilated Muslim populations. |
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| | + | Those populations are growing. Europe isn't. As far back as 2011, the Pew Forum noted that Europe's Muslim population was expected to almost double from 30 million in 1990 to 57 million in 2030. |
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| | + | That's surely now an underestimate. Add to this the inevitability of jihadists slipping across porous EU borders, and Europe is in deep trouble. |
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| | + | Anger is welling up, and nationalist parties are spreading across the Continent. As 20th century history showed, Europe doesn't react well to social upheaval. |
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| | + | Can Europe survive the coming storm? Doubtful.<ref>[http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/091115-770715-europe-struggles-to-maintain-identity-as-muslim-population-soars.htm#ixzz3lY0cIWqc Can Europe Stay Europe After Muslim Migrant Surge? Doubtful]</ref>}} |
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| − | *[[Atheism vs. Islam#Investor's Business Daily on the flood of Muslim immigrants to Europe|Investor's Business Daily on the flood of Muslim immigrants to Europe]]
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| | == Notes == | | == Notes == |
| | {{Reflist|colwidth=30em}} | | {{Reflist|colwidth=30em}} |