Siteadmin, Check users, oversight, Administrators
350,900
edits
Changes
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
Line 111:
Line 111: + + +
→Atheism in America: Demographics and trends in American secularism
In 2012, Kaufmann wrote:
In 2012, Kaufmann wrote:
{{Cquote| In the United States, they manage 1.5, considerably lower than the national 2.1. This disadvantage is not enough to prevent religious decline in much of Europe and America today, but secularism must run to stand still. Since the history of religious decline in Europe suggests that secularization rates tend to drop over time, this portends the end of secularization. Projections I recently published with Skirbekk and Goujon in the journal Sociology of Religion show secularism losing momentum and beginning to decline in both Europe and America by 2050, largely because of low fertility and religious immigration.<ref>[http://www.aei.org/publication/the-future-will-be-more-religious-and-conservative-than-you-think/ The Future Will Be More Religious and Conservative Than You Think] by Eric Kaufmann, American Enterprise Institute</ref>}}
{{Cquote| In the United States, they manage 1.5, considerably lower than the national 2.1. This disadvantage is not enough to prevent religious decline in much of Europe and America today, but secularism must run to stand still. Since the history of religious decline in Europe suggests that secularization rates tend to drop over time, this portends the end of secularization. Projections I recently published with Skirbekk and Goujon in the journal Sociology of Religion show secularism losing momentum and beginning to decline in both Europe and America by 2050, largely because of low fertility and religious immigration.<ref>[http://www.aei.org/publication/the-future-will-be-more-religious-and-conservative-than-you-think/ The Future Will Be More Religious and Conservative Than You Think] by Eric Kaufmann, American Enterprise Institute</ref>}}
Regarding the [[Western World]] as a whole and the growth of the religious population in the West, Kaufmann wrote:
{{Cquote|...this paper claims that the developing world will not only never catch up, but that, ironically, it is the West which will increasingly come to resemble the developing world. Committed religious populations are growing in the West, and will reverse the march of secularism before 2050. The logic which is driving this apparently anti-modern development is [[demography]], a shadowy historical force whose power multiplies exponentially with the modernisation process. Demography is about raw numbers, and, in an age of low mortality, its chief components are fertility and migration.<ref>[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf ''Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century'' by Eric Kaufmann]</ref>}}
Kaufmann wrote about irreligion/irreligion and the [[culture war]] in America:
Kaufmann wrote about irreligion/irreligion and the [[culture war]] in America: