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FiveThirtyEight (view source)

Revision as of 15:53, November 6, 2022

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In the 2022 midterm elections, ''FiveThirtyEight'' long predicted a Democrat win of control of the U.S. Senate, and only in the last month prior to the election began to incrementally increase the chances of a GOP victory until, merely a w
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The site wrongly predicted that [[Hillary Clinton]] would defeat [[Donald Trump]] in 2016.  Its predictions seem to be left-leaning and its audience is probably mostly [[liberal]].  It is most useful as a "worst-case" type of prediction, rather than as a prophetic assessment.
 
The site wrongly predicted that [[Hillary Clinton]] would defeat [[Donald Trump]] in 2016.  Its predictions seem to be left-leaning and its audience is probably mostly [[liberal]].  It is most useful as a "worst-case" type of prediction, rather than as a prophetic assessment.
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In the [[2022 midterm elections]], ''FiveThirtyEight'' long predicted a [[Democrat]] win of control of the [[U.S. Senate]], and only in the last month prior to the election began to incrementally increase the chances of a [[GOP]] victory until, merely a week before the election, began to predict a [[Republican]] win.
    
The site is believed to be heavily biased: the site uses a very ugly Trump face and a handsome Biden face, and it says "Biden is ''clearly'' favored to win this election", 91 to 9. In an attempt to hide its bias, it has a fox "comforting" and "encouraging" the "underdog Trump", which is not that biased as the rest of the side. It is a detailed site, at least for liberal Democrats, who usually justify their agenda with the site. This site is basically an attempt to make it look impossible to get Trump re-elected. It also makes polls look biased toward Republicans, which is misleading, as the polls favor Democrats by six points.<ref>https://www.newsmax.com/johntantillo/gallup-biases-sampling/2020/01/06/id/948599/</ref>
 
The site is believed to be heavily biased: the site uses a very ugly Trump face and a handsome Biden face, and it says "Biden is ''clearly'' favored to win this election", 91 to 9. In an attempt to hide its bias, it has a fox "comforting" and "encouraging" the "underdog Trump", which is not that biased as the rest of the side. It is a detailed site, at least for liberal Democrats, who usually justify their agenda with the site. This site is basically an attempt to make it look impossible to get Trump re-elected. It also makes polls look biased toward Republicans, which is misleading, as the polls favor Democrats by six points.<ref>https://www.newsmax.com/johntantillo/gallup-biases-sampling/2020/01/06/id/948599/</ref>
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== References ==
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== References ={{reflist}}
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{{reflist}}
 
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