Changes

In 2022, the four incumbent [[Democrat]] senators most vulnerable to defeat are: [[Mark Kelly]] (D-AZ), [[Raphael Warnock]] (D-GA), [[Catherine Cortez Masto]] (D-NV), and [[Maggie Hassan]] (D-NH).  FiveThirtyEight posts a sophisticated estimate who is mostly like to prevail in each midterm race.<ref>https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo</ref>

In 2022, the four incumbent [[Democrat]] senators most vulnerable to defeat are: [[Mark Kelly]] (D-AZ), [[Raphael Warnock]] (D-GA), [[Catherine Cortez Masto]] (D-NV), and [[Maggie Hassan]] (D-NH).  FiveThirtyEight posts a sophisticated estimate who is mostly like to prevail in each midterm race.<ref>https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo</ref>

Projections are that this midterm election is the most expensive midterm election ever, surpassing the 2018 midterms by $50 million in spending.<ref>https://www.ft.com/content/1eb949fc-945b-437c-9e08-29a3f9ec1896</ref>

This midterm election was the most expensive midterm election ever, surpassing the 2018 midterms by more than $50 million in spending.<ref>https://www.ft.com/content/1eb949fc-945b-437c-9e08-29a3f9ec1896</ref>

RealClearPolitics observes that polling that this time historically underestimate [[GOP]] performance, and after factoring this into account predicts a [[Republican]] takeover of the [[Senate]] by gaining 2 seats.<ref>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map-rcp-projection.html</ref>  Other forecasters, such as ''The Economist'', predict a 51-49 victory by [[Democrat]]s.<ref>https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-midterms-2022/forecast/senate</ref>  ''Fivethirtyeight'' was predicting a [[Dem]] majority in the Senate based on these midterm elections, or at least a continuation of the status quo, but beginning October 5, 2022, it began to backpedal on the confidence of its prediction.  Nearly daily in early October the likelihood of the [[GOP]] winning control of the Senate inched up in the forecast by ''Fivethirtyeight'', and by nine days before the election ''Fivethirtyeight'' says the outcome is a 49%-51% dead heat likelihood ([[GOP]]-[[Dem]]) of which party gains control.<ref>https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo</ref>

RealClearPolitics observes that polling that this time historically underestimate [[GOP]] performance, and after factoring this into account predicts a [[Republican]] takeover of the [[Senate]] by gaining 2 seats.<ref>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map-rcp-projection.html</ref>  Other forecasters, such as ''The Economist'', predict a 51-49 victory by [[Democrat]]s.<ref>https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-midterms-2022/forecast/senate</ref>  ''Fivethirtyeight'' was predicting a [[Dem]] majority in the Senate based on these midterm elections, or at least a continuation of the status quo, but beginning October 5, 2022, it began to backpedal on the confidence of its prediction.  Nearly daily in early October the likelihood of the [[GOP]] winning control of the Senate inched up in the forecast by ''Fivethirtyeight'', and by nine days before the election ''Fivethirtyeight'' says the outcome is a 49%-51% dead heat likelihood ([[GOP]]-[[Dem]]) of which party gains control.<ref>https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo</ref>