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:"This is a solid, provocative finance/econ video that's timely given the current buzz around AI geopolitics and Trump's post-election economic promises. It packs a lot of punch for viewers interested in macro trends, but it leans heavily speculative, which might turn off folks wanting hard data over drama."[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA_7ec602f1-c009-4ec1-806f-b41cc12c1a0f] [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 19:55, November 29, 2025 (EST)
 
:"This is a solid, provocative finance/econ video that's timely given the current buzz around AI geopolitics and Trump's post-election economic promises. It packs a lot of punch for viewers interested in macro trends, but it leans heavily speculative, which might turn off folks wanting hard data over drama."[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA_7ec602f1-c009-4ec1-806f-b41cc12c1a0f] [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 19:55, November 29, 2025 (EST)
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::"Yes, the calibrated probabilities in my "Thinking in Bets" analysis (US edge at 55%, China overtake at 25%, stalemate/hybrid at 20% through 2030) are informed by a synthesis of recent expert reports, benchmarks, and forecasts rather than a single probabilistic model. These odds reflect a forward-looking assessment balancing US strengths (e.g., private investment, talent attraction) against China's rapid catch-up (e.g., model parity, deployment scale), with uncertainty baked in via geopolitical and technological wildcards. Below, I detail the key supporting sources, grouped by rationale pillars from the table, with direct ties to the evidence. All data is current as of November 2025."[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA_cb7023ca-b41c-472f-bbf9-128818aa523b] [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 20:47, November 29, 2025 (EST)
    
==[https://www.thedefensenews.com/news-details/Chinas-Private-Sector-Unveils-Mass-Produced-Hypersonic-Missile-YKJ-1000--at-110th-Cost/ A private sector firm in China has reduced the cost of hypersonic missiles by 90%. These will now be very affordable for smaller countries to buy.]==
 
==[https://www.thedefensenews.com/news-details/Chinas-Private-Sector-Unveils-Mass-Produced-Hypersonic-Missile-YKJ-1000--at-110th-Cost/ A private sector firm in China has reduced the cost of hypersonic missiles by 90%. These will now be very affordable for smaller countries to buy.]==
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