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United States Presidential Election, 2008 (view source)
Revision as of 15:06, July 25, 2008
, 15:06, July 25, 2008→Analysis of State by Region
=== South-Atlantic ===
=== South-Atlantic ===
[[Washington, D.C.]] is overwhelmingly liberal and will vote for Obama; however, with three electoral votes its significance is limited. [[Virginia]] is an extremely competitive state; despite the relative success of Republicans in the state in the past, polling indicates that this year, the election is dead even. In the Carolinas, John McCain still has a substantial lead. Obama may be slightly more competitive in these states if he mobilizes the African-American population. However, right now they are not exceptionally close. [[Georgia]] is the state where a third-party candidate can make the most difference. At this point, John McCain is still considered the clear favorite. However, if [[Bob Barr]] takes away a significant portion of the Republican vote, and as in the rest of his life, Barack Obama succeeds because he is lucky, the Democrats still have a tiny chance. [[Florida]] is a very close swing state, most famously known for its role in [[Election 2000]]. In recent years, recognizing, for example Barack Obama's naive declaration that he would meet with leaders such as [[Fidel Castro]], Floridians have leaned Republican. An important constituency in this state is the [[Jewish]] population, dismayed by Obama's refusal to recognize that [[Israel]] is our most important ally. Cuban-Americans are also very important.
[[Washington, D.C.]] is overwhelmingly liberal and will vote for Obama; however, with three electoral votes its significance is limited. [[Virginia]] is an extremely competitive state; despite the relative success of Republicans in the state in the past, polling indicates that this year, the election is dead even. In the Carolinas, John McCain still has a substantial lead. Obama may be slightly more competitive in these states if he mobilizes the African-American population. However, right now they are not exceptionally close. [[Georgia]] is the state where a third-party candidate can make the most difference. At this point, John McCain is still considered the clear favorite. However, if [[Bob Barr]] takes away a significant portion of the Republican vote, and as in the rest of his life, Barack Obama succeeds because he is lucky, the Democrats still have a tiny chance. [[Florida]] is a very close swing state, most famously known for its role in [[Election 2000]]. In recent years, recognizing, for example Barack Obama's naive declaration that he would meet with leaders such as [[Fidel Castro]], Floridians have leaned Republican. An important constituency in this state is the [[Jewish]] population, dismayed by Obama's refusal to recognize that [[Israel]] is our most important ally. Cuban-Americans are also very important.
=== Deep South ===
John McCain will do very well in the deep south. This includes the states of [[Texas]], [[Alabama]], [[Mississippi]], [[Louisiana]], [[Oklahoma]], [[Arkansas]], [[Tennessee]], [[Kentucky]] and [[West Virginia]]. This area is very [[conservative]], and many of these states have not voted for a Democrat in a long time. Here, John McCain is very popular, and there should be no contest. Although Obama believes in a fifty-state strategy, it is unlikely that such a strategy will be helpful in getting out the vote in these states. In states like Kentucky, West Virginia and Arkansas, the fact that Obama is so elitist will hurt him. Had [[Hillary Clinton]] become the nominee for the Democrats, she would have had a much better chance, especially in Arkansas where she was the First Lady. If she is Obama's vice presidential pick, it is still unlikely that he will be able to win these states.
== Battleground States ==
== Battleground States ==