The NBER is the nonpartisan agency that declares the timing of business cycles--and it has been for 80 years. They use multiple criteria, which gives much more precision (not the simplistic one of two quarters' decline). Note that the START of a recession is actually a high point, from which the economy begins a downward trend. That happened 12 months ago. For more details see [http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/2008-12-01-recession-nber-statement_N.htm NBER statement] [[User:RJJensen|RJJensen]] 05:00, 23 December 2008 (EST) | The NBER is the nonpartisan agency that declares the timing of business cycles--and it has been for 80 years. They use multiple criteria, which gives much more precision (not the simplistic one of two quarters' decline). Note that the START of a recession is actually a high point, from which the economy begins a downward trend. That happened 12 months ago. For more details see [http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/2008-12-01-recession-nber-statement_N.htm NBER statement] [[User:RJJensen|RJJensen]] 05:00, 23 December 2008 (EST) |