Variance:Probability and Statistics

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This article/section deals with mathematical concepts appropriate for late high school or early college.

Variance is a measure in statistics of the dispersion of a set of values (represented as Failed to parse (MathML with SVG or PNG fallback (recommended for modern browsers and accessibility tools): Invalid response ("Math extension cannot connect to Restbase.") from server "https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/":): {\displaystyle X} ). It is defined as

Failed to parse (MathML with SVG or PNG fallback (recommended for modern browsers and accessibility tools): Invalid response ("Math extension cannot connect to Restbase.") from server "https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/":): {\displaystyle \sigma^2 = \operatorname{E}[(X-\operatorname{E}[X])^2] = \operatorname{E}[X^2] - (\operatorname{E}[X])^2}

where the expected value of X is E(X).


The formula for variance must not be confused with the formula

Failed to parse (MathML with SVG or PNG fallback (recommended for modern browsers and accessibility tools): Invalid response ("Math extension cannot connect to Restbase.") from server "https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/":): {\displaystyle S_{n}^2 = {\sum_n(X_n - \bar X)^2 \over n - 1}}

(where Failed to parse (MathML with SVG or PNG fallback (recommended for modern browsers and accessibility tools): Invalid response ("Math extension cannot connect to Restbase.") from server "https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/":): {\displaystyle \bar X = {\sum_n X_n \over N}} is the sample mean).

which is the formula for a point estimate of the true variance from a sample of size n. As such this estimator itself has a variance which, as the formula indicates, decreases as the sample size increases.