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→‎Senate Contests: added more info
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'''* Florida'''
 
'''* Florida'''
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Democrat [[Bill Nelson]] is the incumbent. he will face Republican Representative Connie Mack. [[Rasmussen]] says Nelson is struggling to get above the 50 percent mark and is vulnerable if Romney carries Florida.  
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Democrat [[Bill Nelson]] is the incumbent. he will face Republican Representative Connie Mack. An average of polls has shown a near tie in the contest, bad news for an incumbent and Nelson cannot win if Romney takes Florida, a must-win state for him.
    
'''* Hawaii'''
 
'''* Hawaii'''
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'''* Missouri'''
 
'''* Missouri'''
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Democrat [[Claire McCaskill]] is the incumbent and [[movement conservative]] [[Todd Akin]] is the [[Republican]] nominee.
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Democrat [[Claire McCaskill]] is the incumbent and faces [[movement conservative]] [[Todd Akin]], the [[Republican]] nominee who leads her in the polls by an average of 6 percentage points. It will be hard for a Democrat to win in this state which is rapidly trending red.
    
'''* Montana'''
 
'''* Montana'''
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'''* Nevada'''
 
'''* Nevada'''
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Republican [[Dean Heller]] was appointed in 2011 to replace [[John Ensign]] and is considered the incumbent. Barry Ellsworth [D], Nancy Price [D], Shelley Berkley [D] have declared. May 2012 polling has Heller with a 11 point lead.
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Republican [[Dean Heller]] was appointed in 2011 to replace [[John Ensign]] and is considered the incumbent. He faces Rep. Shelley Berkley who cruised to victory in the Democratic primary. Polling has Heller with a lead of, on average, 4 points though he generally fails to break 50%, a crucial benchmark for an incumbent.
    
'''* New Jersey'''
 
'''* New Jersey'''
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