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Line 3: − The [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html RealClearPolitics website] forecasts a 47-44 split favoring the Democrats with 9 toss-up seats, but that includes a questionable claim that Democrats will likely hold on to the [[New Mexico]] seat. In these key states, most of which are listed as "toss-up" or even leaning Democrat, the Democrat candidate will probably not win unless he garners more votes than [[Obama]] in the state:+ − + − + − *Nevada + − *Wisconsin
RCP Update
Democrats' majority status and [[Harry Reid]]'s Senate leadership are at stake. Democrats are growing uncomfortable as they decline to endorse [[Obama]]'s shift on [[gay marriage]]. "Senate Majority Leader [[Harry Reid]] predicted Thursday the Democratic Party would adopt a pro-gay marriage plank in its platform." [http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/227007-vulnerable-democratic-senators-balk-at-obamas-endorsement-of-gay-marriage]
Democrats' majority status and [[Harry Reid]]'s Senate leadership are at stake. Democrats are growing uncomfortable as they decline to endorse [[Obama]]'s shift on [[gay marriage]]. "Senate Majority Leader [[Harry Reid]] predicted Thursday the Democratic Party would adopt a pro-gay marriage plank in its platform." [http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/227007-vulnerable-democratic-senators-balk-at-obamas-endorsement-of-gay-marriage]
As of August 29, the [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html RealClearPolitics website] forecasts a 46-46 split with 8 toss-up seats, but that includes a questionable claim that Democrats will likely hold on to the [[New Mexico]] seat. In these key states, most of which are listed as "toss-up" or even leaning Democrat, the Democrat candidate will probably not win unless he garners more votes than [[Obama]] in the state:
*Florida (Mack-R v. Nelson-D)
*Connecticut
*Indiana
*Indiana
*Massachusetts
*Massachusetts
*Missouri ([[Todd Akin]]-R v. [[Claire McCaskill]]-D)
*Michigan
*Montana (Rehberg-R v. Tester-D)
*Montana (Rehberg-R v. Tester-D)
*North Dakota
*North Dakota
*Ohio
*Virginia
*Virginia
==Senate Contests==
==Senate Contests==