Changes

Democrats' majority status and [[Harry Reid]]'s Senate leadership are at stake.  Democrats are growing uncomfortable as they decline to endorse [[Obama]]'s shift on [[gay marriage]]. "Senate Majority Leader [[Harry Reid]] predicted Thursday the Democratic Party would adopt a pro-gay marriage plank in its platform." [http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/227007-vulnerable-democratic-senators-balk-at-obamas-endorsement-of-gay-marriage]  

Democrats' majority status and [[Harry Reid]]'s Senate leadership are at stake.  Democrats are growing uncomfortable as they decline to endorse [[Obama]]'s shift on [[gay marriage]]. "Senate Majority Leader [[Harry Reid]] predicted Thursday the Democratic Party would adopt a pro-gay marriage plank in its platform." [http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/227007-vulnerable-democratic-senators-balk-at-obamas-endorsement-of-gay-marriage]  

As of August 29, the [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html RealClearPolitics website] forecasts a 47-46 split favoring democrats with 7 toss-up seats, but that includes a questionable claim that Democrats will likely hold on to the [[New Mexico]] seat.  In these key states, most of which are listed as "toss-up" or even leaning Democrat, the Democrat candidate will probably not win unless he garners more votes than [[Obama]] in the state:

As of August 29, the [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html RealClearPolitics website] forecasts a 48-46 split favoring democrats with 6 toss-up seats, but that includes a questionable claim that Democrats will likely hold on to the [[New Mexico]] seat.  In these key states, most of which are listed as "toss-up" or even leaning Democrat, the Democrat candidate will probably not win unless he garners more votes than [[Obama]] in the state:

*Connecticut

*Connecticut

*Montana (Rehberg-R v. Tester-D)

*Montana (Rehberg-R v. Tester-D)

*North Dakota

*North Dakota

*Virginia

*Virginia