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Line 173:
Line 173: − denominations—all of which are poorly represented in the immigration flow. Fundamentalists’+ − + − tially in the decades ahead because it has a young age structure and more people leave religion
→Vegard Skirbekk and Anne Goujon religion/irreligion demographic projection
(Stark and Iannaccone 1994a). This is the result of an older age structure, which increases
(Stark and Iannaccone 1994a). This is the result of an older age structure, which increases
loss through mortality, and immigration, which reduces the size of all predominantly white
loss through mortality, and immigration, which reduces the size of all predominantly white
denominations — all of which are poorly represented in the immigration flow. Fundamentalists’
relatively high fertility and net surplus from the religious marketplace is not sufficient to counteract the effects of immigration. Obviously, this could change if significant immigration begins to arrivefrom more Pentecostalist source countries such as Guatemala or parts of sub-Saharan Africa.
relatively high fertility and net surplus from the religious marketplace is not sufficient to counteract the effects of immigration. Obviously, this could change if significant immigration begins to arrivefrom more Pentecostalist source countries such as Guatemala or parts of sub-Saharan Africa.
Our work also sheds light on the religious restructuring paradigm, though we do not find a
Our work also sheds light on the religious restructuring paradigm, though we do not find a
clear victor between secularism and fundamentalism. The secular population will grow substan-
clear victor between secularism and fundamentalism. The secular population will grow substantially in the decades ahead because it has a young age structure and more people leave religion
than enter it. The sharpest gains for secularism will be within the white population, where seculars
than enter it. The sharpest gains for secularism will be within the white population, where seculars
will surpass fundamentalists by 2030. On the other hand, there are important demographic limits
will surpass fundamentalists by 2030. On the other hand, there are important demographic limits