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404 bytes added ,  18:04, August 11, 2015
The last 35 years suggests that is more likely for a non-incumbent Republican to win the presidency when there is a third-party candidacy, than when there is not.
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'''Trump third party run''' refers to the possibility that [[Donald Trump]] will run as a third-party candidate in the [[2016 presidential election]].
 
'''Trump third party run''' refers to the possibility that [[Donald Trump]] will run as a third-party candidate in the [[2016 presidential election]].
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The [[Fox News Channel]] opposes this and made it the first issue of the [[2016 presidential debate]].  But in 1980, it was a third-party candidacy by fellow [[Republican]] [[John Anderson]] which helped elect the [[conservative]] [[Ronald Reagan]].
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The [[Fox News Channel]] opposes this and made it the first issue of the [[2016 presidential debate]].  But in 1980, it was a third-party candidacy by fellow [[Republican]] [[John Anderson]] which helped elect the [[conservative]] [[Ronald Reagan]].  Also, the third-party candidacies of [[Ralph Nader]] and [[Pat Buchanan]] helped elect [[George W. Bush]] in 2000.  The last 35 years suggests that is more likely for a non-incumbent Republican to win the presidency when there is a third-party candidacy, than when there is not.
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== Effect on Swing States ==
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Historically, the swing states have been Florida, Ohio, Nevada, North Carolina and Virginia.
    
[[Category: United States Presidential Elections]]
 
[[Category: United States Presidential Elections]]
 
[[Category:2016 presidential election]]
 
[[Category:2016 presidential election]]
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