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'''Trump third party run''' refers to the possibility that [[Donald Trump]] will run as a third-party candidate in the [[2016 presidential election]].

'''Trump third party run''' refers to the possibility that [[Donald Trump]] will run as a third-party candidate in the [[2016 presidential election]].

The [[Fox News Channel]] opposes this and made it the first issue of the [[2016 presidential debate]].  But in 1980, it was a third-party candidacy by fellow [[Republican]] [[John Anderson]] which helped elect the [[conservative]] [[Ronald Reagan]].  Also, the third-party candidacies of [[Ralph Nader]] and [[Pat Buchanan]] helped elect [[George W. Bush]] in 2000, and the third-party candidacy of [[George Wallace]] in 1968 helped elect [[Richard Nixon]].  Indeed, the last 50 years suggest that is more likely for a non-incumbent Republican to win the presidency when there is a third-party candidacy, than when there is not.

The [[Fox News Channel]] opposes this and made it the first issue of the [[2016 presidential debate]].  But in 1980, it was a third-party candidacy by fellow [[Republican]] [[John Anderson]] which helped elect the [[conservative]] [[Ronald Reagan]].  Also, the third-party candidacies of [[Ralph Nader]] and [[Pat Buchanan]] helped elect [[George W. Bush]] in 2000, and the third-party candidacy of [[George Wallace]] in 1968 helped elect [[Richard Nixon]].  Indeed, the last 60 years suggest that is more likely for a non-incumbent Republican to win the presidency when there is a third-party candidacy, than when there is not.

== Effect on Swing States ==

== Effect on Swing States ==