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Game theory primary (view source)

Revision as of 22:23, August 15, 2015

7 bytes added ,  22:23, August 15, 2015
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→‎Whom does Donald Trump help?
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One theory, advanced at the Powerline blog, is that the candidacy by Donald Trump helps [[Jeb Bush]].<ref>http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2015/08/trump-bushs-stalking-horse.php</ref>  But if Trump prevents Jeb Bush from winning in New Hampshire, which seems plausible, then Jeb Bush probably cannot win the nomination.  Jeb Bush will fare poorly in Iowa and thus New Hampshire is a must-win state for him, but Trump seems poised to win New Hampshire.
 
One theory, advanced at the Powerline blog, is that the candidacy by Donald Trump helps [[Jeb Bush]].<ref>http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2015/08/trump-bushs-stalking-horse.php</ref>  But if Trump prevents Jeb Bush from winning in New Hampshire, which seems plausible, then Jeb Bush probably cannot win the nomination.  Jeb Bush will fare poorly in Iowa and thus New Hampshire is a must-win state for him, but Trump seems poised to win New Hampshire.
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==== Impact on Iowa ====
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=== Impact by Trump on Iowa ===
    
Iowa Republican primaries are less likely to support Trump, so he may not have much impact in that crucial first State.
 
Iowa Republican primaries are less likely to support Trump, so he may not have much impact in that crucial first State.
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