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| | Yang Fenggang of Purdue University, in Indiana, says the Christian church in China has grown by an average of 10% a year since 1980. He reckons that on current trends there will be 250m Christians by around 2030, making China’s Christian population the largest in the world. Mr. Yang says this speed of growth is similar to that seen in fourth-century Rome just before the conversion of [[Constantine]], which paved the way for Christianity to become the religion of his empire.<ref>[http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21629218-rapid-spread-christianity-forcing-official-rethink-religion-cracks ''Cracks in the atheist edifice''], ''The Economist'', November 1, 2014</ref>}} | | Yang Fenggang of Purdue University, in Indiana, says the Christian church in China has grown by an average of 10% a year since 1980. He reckons that on current trends there will be 250m Christians by around 2030, making China’s Christian population the largest in the world. Mr. Yang says this speed of growth is similar to that seen in fourth-century Rome just before the conversion of [[Constantine]], which paved the way for Christianity to become the religion of his empire.<ref>[http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21629218-rapid-spread-christianity-forcing-official-rethink-religion-cracks ''Cracks in the atheist edifice''], ''The Economist'', November 1, 2014</ref>}} |
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| | + | == Future of Islam in Europe and the desecularization of Europe == |
| | + | [[File:StarCresent.png|thumbnail|250px|right|According to Pew Forum, by 2030 Muslims are projected to make up 8% of Europe’s population.<ref>[http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/11/17/5-facts-about-the-muslim-population-in-europe/ 5 facts about the Muslim population in Europe] by Conrad Hackett, Pew Forum, November 17, 2015</ref>]] |
| | + | According to Pew Forum: |
| | + | {{cquote| In recent decades, the Muslim share of the population throughout Europe grew about 1 percentage point a decade, from 4% in 1990 to 6% in 2010. This pattern is expected to continue through 2030, when Muslims are projected to make up 8% of Europe’s population.<ref>[http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/11/17/5-facts-about-the-muslim-population-in-europe/ 5 facts about the Muslim population in Europe] by Conrad Hackett, Pew Forum, November 17, 2015</ref>}} |
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| | + | Professor Philip Jenkins at Penn State University projects that by 2100, Muslims will be about 25% of Europe's population. Jenkins indicates that this figure does not take account divergent birthrates amongst Europe's various immigrant Christians.<ref>Philip Jenkins, ''Demographics, Religion, and the Future of Europe'', Orbis: A Journal of World Affairs, vol. 50, no. 3, pp. 533, summer 2006</ref> |
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| | + | In April of 2010, Eric Kaufmann indicated concerning the future of Islam in Europe: |
| | + | {{cquote|I address this in some detail in the book, as well is in a [http://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/features/europes-muslim-future recent article in the April issue of Prospect magazine] here in Britain. The short answer is that I don’t foresee a Muslim-majority Europe in this century or in the next. Why? Mainly because [[Islam|Muslim]] birthrates are plunging both in Europe and the Muslim world. Already, Iran, Tunisia, Turkey, Azerbaijan and several other Muslim countries have replacement-level fertility or below. In the UK, Bangladeshi and Pakistani fertility has halved in a generation and is now under 3 children per woman. This means their long-term growth will begin to tail off. The other part of the equation is the rise of non-Muslim immigrant groups (African and West Indian Christians, Hindus, Buddhists and other Eastern faiths) who are also increasing and therefore making Europe more plural and, in the process, rendering it harder for Muslims to increase their share of the population. |
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| | + | That said, Muslim membership retention and in-group marriage is exceptionally high (over 90 per cent) and they are a much younger population than the host society. So they are on course for steady growth. My colleagues and I expect their fertility to fall to host levels by 2030, but they will still make up 5-15 per cent of most West European countries by 2050 and 10-25 per cent by 2100. This is a major change from the 2-6 per cent levels of today<ref>[http://www.mercatornet.com/articles/view/shall_the_religious_inherit_the_earth/#sthash.nE0JGi2Y.dpuf ''Shall the religious inherit the earth?''], 2010 Interview with [[Eric Kaufmann] by MercatorNet</ref>}} |
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| | + | === Investor's Business Daily on the recent flood of Muslim immigrants to Europe === |
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| | + | Investor's Business Daily wrote in 2015 concerning a flood of Muslim immigrants to the European Union: |
| | + | {{cquote|The European Union is bracing for as many as 800,000 mostly Muslim refugees arriving from the chaos in the Middle East this year, mainly Syria, Iraq and Eritrea. |
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| | + | And it may be just the beginning. Can the EU withstand such a religio-demographic earthquake? Its failure to enforce any concept of borders isn't a good sign.... |
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| | + | Assimilation offers little hope. Parts of France — especially its notorious banlieues outside major cities like Paris — are virtual no-go zones. London's are little better. Italy, Germany, the Netherlands and Scandinavia all have large, unassimilated Muslim populations. |
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| | + | Those populations are growing. Europe isn't. As far back as 2011, the Pew Forum noted that Europe's Muslim population was expected to almost double from 30 million in 1990 to 57 million in 2030. |
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| | + | That's surely now an underestimate. Add to this the inevitability of jihadists slipping across porous EU borders, and Europe is in deep trouble. |
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| | + | Anger is welling up, and nationalist parties are spreading across the Continent. As 20th century history showed, Europe doesn't react well to social upheaval. |
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| | + | Can Europe survive the coming storm? Doubtful.<ref>[http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/091115-770715-europe-struggles-to-maintain-identity-as-muslim-population-soars.htm#ixzz3lY0cIWqc Can Europe Stay Europe After Muslim Migrant Surge? Doubtful]</ref>}} |
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| | + | === Multiculturism, assimilation and the desecularization of Europe === |
| | + | [[File:Europe map CIA 2005.jpg|thumbnail|right|175px|In the Europe of tomorrow, immigration and religious fertility will increase the proportion of committed Christians in Europe, many from the developing world.<ref>[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf Shall the Righteous Inherit the Earth? Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century] by [[Eric Kaufmann]]</ref> ]] |
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| | + | ''See also:'' [[Secular Europe|Desecularization of Europe]] and [[Desecularization]] and [[Multiculturism and European desecularization]] |
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| | + | Professor Eric Kaufmann in an academic paper entitled ''Shall the Righteous Inherit the Earth? Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century'' wrote: |
| | + | {{cquote|Ethnicity and race may succumb to liberal modernity, but committed religious populations cannot be assimilated to liberal secularism fast enough to compensate for their demographic advantage in a world of plunging fertility and growing migration. In the end, it is a battle between religious fertility on the one hand, and, on the other, religious decline through the 'assimilation' of religious offspring into secularism. This paper argues that the weakness of secularism and a widening secular-religious fertility gap points toward a religious victory... |
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| | + | The principle of tolerating and 'celebrating' diversity is a corollary of postmodern relativism which opens up space for antimodern religious 'diversities' to take root. If they are demographically-powerful religious movements like Islamism or [[evangelicalism|evangelical Christianity]], they will exploit this weakness to progressively erode the hegemony of western secular humanism.... |
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| | + | In the Europe of tomorrow, immigration and religious fertility will increase the proportion of committed Muslims and Christians, many from the developing world. It may seem fanciful to imagine a moral conservatism uniting white and nonwhite Christians as well as Muslims against '[[secular humanism|secular humanists]]'. However, a version of this process has occurred in the United States, and it can be argued that the cocktail of cultural relativism, secular exhaustion and demographic change is even more potent in Europe than America. The division between native ethnic groups and immigrant groups is currently more important in Europe, but as the Muslim and religious Christian minorities grow, they will become as important for conservative politicians as the religious Hispanics of America whom the Republicans have so assiduously courted. At some point, it will make more electoral sense for European conservatives to appeal to a trans-ethnic coalition of moral conservatives than it will to stress anti-immigrant themes and ethno-nationalism. The liberal-left will find it extremely difficult to craft a defense of secularism given its investment in cultural relativism, the exhaustion of its secular religions, and its laissez-faire attitude to demographic change. |
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| | + | Standing back from the fray, we can think of demography as the achilles heel of liberalism.<ref>[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf Shall the Righteous Inherit the Earth? Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century] by [[Eric Kaufmann]]</ref>}} |
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| | + | For more information, please see: [[Secular Europe|Desecularization of Europe]] |
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| | + | === Expected growth of Muslim population in the UK === |
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| | + | According to Channel 4 News: |
| | + | {{cquote|There were 1.6 million Muslims in England and Wales in 2001, or 3 per cent of the population, according to the census. By 2011 the Muslim population had grown to 2.7 million people or 4.8 per cent of the population... |
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| | + | Assuming patterns of net immigration do not change significantly, the Pew Forum thinks that there will be just over 5.5 million British Muslims, representing 8.2 per cent of the UK population, by 2030. |
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| | + | None of this is an exact science, and [http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol19/16/19-16.pdf some demographers] say total fertility rate overestimates the lifetime fertility of immigrants because it doesn’t adjust for the fact that they tend to have children soon after arriving.<ref>[http://blogs.channel4.com/factcheck/factcheck-will-britain-have-a-muslim-majority-by-2050/13690 FactCheck: will Britain have a Muslim majority by 2050?</ref>}} |
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| | + | At the same time, over several decades/centuries, silent demographic changes due to higher fertility rates can have large scale consequences.<ref> |
| | + | *[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/why-are-years-2012-and-2020-key-years.html Why are the years 2012 and 2020 key years for Christian creationists and pro-lifers?] |
| | + | *[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth? Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century] by [[Eric Kaufmann]]</ref> |
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| | + | === Growing anti-Muslim sentiments in Europe and its possible effects === |
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| | + | In recent years, there is growing anti-Muslim and anti-immigration political activities in Europe and growing violence against Muslims. Muslims not assimilating into European society, [[Islamic terrorism]] in Europe and high profile incidences of Muslim migrants raping native European women is contributing to anti-Islamic sentiments and violence against Muslims.<ref>[http://www.dw.com/en/attacks-against-muslims-on-the-rise-after-paris-strikes/a-18878424 Attacks against Muslims on the rise after Paris strikes]</ref><ref>[http://www.nationalreview.com/article/429493/cologne-rape-jihad-muslim-migrants-europe-fantasy-islam When Worlds Collide: Unassimilable Muslim Migrants Crash Europe’s Fantasy Islam]</ref><ref>[http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2015/03/muslim_sacralized_rape_and_feminized_sweden.html Muslim Sacralized rape and feminized Sweden]</ref> |
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| | + | Given Europe's violence in the past and its [[Eurozone Crisis|economic problems]], it is argued that anti-Muslim violence will increase and that an expulsion of Muslims from various European countries may occur.<ref>[http://www.jewishpolicycenter.org/90/europes-future Europe's future]</ref><ref>[http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/08/the-major-roadblock-to-muslim-assimilation-in-europe/243769/ The Major Roadblock to Muslim Assimilation in Europe], The Atlantic, 2011</ref> In 2015, Spanish police were accused of breaking international law by beating African migrants who climbed border fences and deporting them on the spot without asylum procedures.<ref>[http://shoebat.com/2015/01/19/government-spain-makes-new-law-muslims-will-no-longer-allowed-come-borders/ Government Of Spain Makes New Law: Muslims Will No Longer Be Allowed To Come Through Our Borders]</ref> |
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| | == Rapid growth of global creationism == | | == Rapid growth of global creationism == |