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It's been a while, sorry - Trump close to where he started in March
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|'''74.0%'''
 
|'''74.0%'''
 
|'''77.5%'''
 
|'''77.5%'''
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|}
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 +
'''Probabilities from 1 August'''
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 +
{| class="wikitable"
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|-
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! Candidate
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! 7 August 2016
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|-
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| Donald Trump
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| 25.4%
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|-
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| Hilary Clinton
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| 74.6%
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|-
 
|}
 
|}
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