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Republican turnout in California, the most populous U.S. state, was exceptionally low in 2016 as this state had no major contested race.<ref>"[http://www.nationalreview.com/article/442141/donald-trump-election-dont-blame-electoral-college Why We Have an Electoral College].", ''National Review''</ref> Without California, Trump would have carried the national popular vote by 58.4 million votes to 57.1 million votes.<ref name="NationalPopular" /><ref name="VoteTracker"/><ref name=Calpop>"[http://heavy.com/news/2016/11/popular-vote-results-2016-clinton-trump-2012-2008-vs-electoral-college-california-uncounted-ballots-new-york-update-totals-final/ Popular Vote 2016: How California Drove Hillary Clinton’s Lead]"</ref> The results in the states with the most representative voting populations, or swing states, provide another way to estimate what a national popular vote might have looked like. In the thirteen swing states, Trump received a total of 22.2 million votes compared to 21.4 million for Clinton.<ref name="NationalPopular" /><ref name="VoteTracker"/> Both of these metrics correspond to a two point edge for Trump in the popular vote.
 
Republican turnout in California, the most populous U.S. state, was exceptionally low in 2016 as this state had no major contested race.<ref>"[http://www.nationalreview.com/article/442141/donald-trump-election-dont-blame-electoral-college Why We Have an Electoral College].", ''National Review''</ref> Without California, Trump would have carried the national popular vote by 58.4 million votes to 57.1 million votes.<ref name="NationalPopular" /><ref name="VoteTracker"/><ref name=Calpop>"[http://heavy.com/news/2016/11/popular-vote-results-2016-clinton-trump-2012-2008-vs-electoral-college-california-uncounted-ballots-new-york-update-totals-final/ Popular Vote 2016: How California Drove Hillary Clinton’s Lead]"</ref> The results in the states with the most representative voting populations, or swing states, provide another way to estimate what a national popular vote might have looked like. In the thirteen swing states, Trump received a total of 22.2 million votes compared to 21.4 million for Clinton.<ref name="NationalPopular" /><ref name="VoteTracker"/> Both of these metrics correspond to a two point edge for Trump in the popular vote.
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Lax voting integrity laws, including laws in twelve states that allow an illegal immigrant to obtain a drivers' license, most likely resulted in over 800,000 ballots being cast for Clinton by non-citizens.<ref name="Lucas800k"/><ref name="O'ReillyIA"/><ref name="Scarborough800k"/>
    
===Historic upset===
 
===Historic upset===
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