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169 bytes added ,  21:40, April 2, 2017
three categories of the 9 possible "no" votes (or absence) - Dems need only 3 out of 9 to prevail
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[[Republicans]] need 50 votes to accomplish the rules change, assuming Vice-President [[Mike Pence]] breaks the tie in favor of changing the rules.  This means the Republicans lose no more than two Republicans on this issue.  Doubtful Republican votes with respect to changing the rules include:
 
[[Republicans]] need 50 votes to accomplish the rules change, assuming Vice-President [[Mike Pence]] breaks the tie in favor of changing the rules.  This means the Republicans lose no more than two Republicans on this issue.  Doubtful Republican votes with respect to changing the rules include:
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== Most likely to vote "no" on rules change ==
    
*[[Susan Collins]] of Maine
 
*[[Susan Collins]] of Maine
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*[[Dean Heller]] of Nevada, up for reelection in a state won easily by [[Hillary Clinton]]
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*[[Lisa Murkowski]] of Alaska
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== Possibly "no" on rules change ==
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*[[John McCain]] of Arizona
 
*[[John McCain]] of Arizona
 
*[[Orrin Hatch]] of Utah
 
*[[Orrin Hatch]] of Utah
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*[[Rand Paul]] of Kentucky
   
*[[Jeff Flake]] of Arizona
 
*[[Jeff Flake]] of Arizona
−
*[[Lisa Murkowski]] of Alaska
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== Outside possibility of "no" or absence ==
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*[[Lindsey Graham]] of South Carolina
 
*[[Lindsey Graham]] of South Carolina
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*[[Dean Heller]] of Nevada, up for reelection in a state won easily by [[Hillary Clinton]]
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*[[Rand Paul]] of Kentucky
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*[[Johnny Isakson]] of Georgia (recovering from back surgery)
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*[[Johnny Isakson]] of Georgia (recovering from back surgery, so an absence or delay is possible)
 
(add to list)
 
(add to list)
 
== See also ==
 
== See also ==
 
*[http://dailycaller.com/2017/03/26/it-could-be-close-counting-to-51-on-the-nuclear-option/ Daily Caller - "It Could Be Close ...."]
 
*[http://dailycaller.com/2017/03/26/it-could-be-close-counting-to-51-on-the-nuclear-option/ Daily Caller - "It Could Be Close ...."]
 
[[category:politics]]
 
[[category:politics]]
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