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| | [[Republicans]] need 50 votes to accomplish the rules change, assuming Vice-President [[Mike Pence]] breaks the tie in favor of changing the rules. This means the Republicans lose no more than two Republicans on this issue. Doubtful Republican votes with respect to changing the rules include: | | [[Republicans]] need 50 votes to accomplish the rules change, assuming Vice-President [[Mike Pence]] breaks the tie in favor of changing the rules. This means the Republicans lose no more than two Republicans on this issue. Doubtful Republican votes with respect to changing the rules include: |
| | + | |
| | + | A total of three "no" votes, or two "no" votes and an absence, from the following would block the rules change: |
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| | == Most likely to vote "no" on rules change == | | == Most likely to vote "no" on rules change == |
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| − | *[[Susan Collins]] of Maine (member of prior "Gang of 14" that averted a rules change) | + | *[[Susan Collins]] of Maine (member of prior "Gang of 14" that averted a rules change) - indicated earlier that she opposed a rules change |
| | *[[Dean Heller]] of Nevada, up for reelection in a state won easily by [[Hillary Clinton]] | | *[[Dean Heller]] of Nevada, up for reelection in a state won easily by [[Hillary Clinton]] |
| | *[[Lisa Murkowski]] of Alaska (voted with Collins in defying [[GOP]] leadership on confirmation of Betsy DeVos) | | *[[Lisa Murkowski]] of Alaska (voted with Collins in defying [[GOP]] leadership on confirmation of Betsy DeVos) |
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| | == Possibly "no" on rules change == | | == Possibly "no" on rules change == |
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| − | *[[John McCain]] of Arizona (member of prior "gang of 14" that averted a rules change) | + | *[[John McCain]] of Arizona (member of prior "gang of 14" that averted a rules change) - indicates he will reluctantly vote for the rules change |
| | *[[Orrin Hatch]] of Utah | | *[[Orrin Hatch]] of Utah |
| | *[[Jeff Flake]] of Arizona | | *[[Jeff Flake]] of Arizona |
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| | == Outside possibility of "no" or absence == | | == Outside possibility of "no" or absence == |
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| − | *[[Lindsey Graham]] of South Carolina (member of prior "gang of 14: that averted a rules change) | + | *[[Lindsey Graham]] of South Carolina (member of prior "gang of 14: that averted a rules change) - implied he will vote for the rules change |
| | *[[Rand Paul]] of Kentucky | | *[[Rand Paul]] of Kentucky |
| | *[[Rob Portman]] of Ohio | | *[[Rob Portman]] of Ohio |