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| − | The Prisoner's Dilemma is a classic problem in [[Game Theory]]. It seems paradoxical, in that the [[Nash Equilibrium]] is not the best solution for both players. | + | The Prisoner's Dilemma is a classic problem in [[Game Theory]]. It seems paradoxical, in that the [[Nash equilibrium]] is not the best solution for both players. |
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| | The game is usually phrased in terms of two suspects, both of whom have been arrested, and offered a bargain. If neither of them confess, they will both serve 6 months in prison for a minor crime. If one of them confesses, this provides evidence of a major crime. The confessor is rewarded by being let off, and the other suspect serves ten years in prison. If both confess, they both serve two years. | | The game is usually phrased in terms of two suspects, both of whom have been arrested, and offered a bargain. If neither of them confess, they will both serve 6 months in prison for a minor crime. If one of them confesses, this provides evidence of a major crime. The confessor is rewarded by being let off, and the other suspect serves ten years in prison. If both confess, they both serve two years. |
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| | If each prisoner only cares about their own jail term, then the best choice for each prisoner would be to confess. Confession is what is known as a [[Strictly Dominant Strategy]], as whatever one suspect chooses to do, Confess is the best choice. If Prisoner B confesses, then Prisoner A's best response is to confess, to avoid the ten year prison term. If Prisoner B does not confess, then Prisoner A's best response is still to confess, to get the reward of not going to prison. | | If each prisoner only cares about their own jail term, then the best choice for each prisoner would be to confess. Confession is what is known as a [[Strictly Dominant Strategy]], as whatever one suspect chooses to do, Confess is the best choice. If Prisoner B confesses, then Prisoner A's best response is to confess, to avoid the ten year prison term. If Prisoner B does not confess, then Prisoner A's best response is still to confess, to get the reward of not going to prison. |
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| − | Thus, the situation leads to both prisoners confessing, and serving a two year prison term. However, this is worse for both prisoners than if they both kept quiet, and served only six months. The prisoners would benefit if they could co-operate, but in the usual phrasing of the problem, neither player knows what the other will do. The situation with both prisoners confessing is a [[Nash Equilibrium]], and is in fact the only such equilibrium that exists in the problem. | + | Thus, the situation leads to both prisoners confessing, and serving a two year prison term. However, this is worse for both prisoners than if they both kept quiet, and served only six months. The prisoners would benefit if they could co-operate, but in the usual phrasing of the problem, neither player knows what the other will do. The situation with both prisoners confessing is a Nash equilibrium, and is in fact the only such equilibrium that exists in the problem. |
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| | ==Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma=== | | ==Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma=== |
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| | The Iterated Prisoner's dilemma is when the basic game is played multiple times (sometimes infinitely many times). Here, co-operation can be a Nash equilibrium. This requires that each player pays attention to what the other player does on previous "rounds", and punish or reward the other player as appropriate. | | The Iterated Prisoner's dilemma is when the basic game is played multiple times (sometimes infinitely many times). Here, co-operation can be a Nash equilibrium. This requires that each player pays attention to what the other player does on previous "rounds", and punish or reward the other player as appropriate. |