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2020 Nevada Democratic caucuses (view source)
Revision as of 16:57, February 22, 2020
, 16:57, February 22, 2020Added to page
'''Reporting Method'''
'''Reporting Method'''
Initially, the state Democratic party intended to use the Shadow social media app for the reporting of results from the individual precincts, as was done in the Iowa caucus. Due to the extensive technical problems that resulted from the use of the app, though, it was decided to use the Google Forms app instead to send in results, via iPads distributed to the precinct chairs. As was the case in Iowa, concerns have been raised about whether the chairs were given adequate instruction in the use of the app, with some suggesting the results would be "disastrous."<ref>https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/16/nevada-avoid-iowa-caucus-mess-115437</ref>
Initially, the state Democratic party intended to use the Shadow social media app for the reporting of results from the individual precincts, as was done in the Iowa caucus. Due to the extensive technical problems that resulted from the use of the app, though, it was decided to use the Google Forms app instead to send in results, via iPads distributed to the precinct chairs. As was the case in Iowa, concerns have been raised about whether the chairs were given adequate instruction in the use of the app, with some suggesting the results would be "disastrous."<ref>https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/16/nevada-avoid-iowa-caucus-mess-115437</ref>
==Polling==
Until early January, former Vice-President [[Joe Biden]] dominated the polling for the Nevada caucus, averaging 25-30% of the vote. Over the month of January, the situation shifted in favor of [[Bernie Sanders]], who held a significant lead in the two weeks prior to the caucus. The latest polls have indicated a maintenance of these figures: an Emerson College poll covering the period February 19-20, 2020, gave him 30% of the vote as compared to 16% for Biden,<ref>https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/nevada-2020-sanders-with-comfortable-lead-heading-into-caucus-tight-race-for-second-place</ref> while a Data for Progress poll ending February 21 gave the [[socialist]] senator a 19-point lead over Biden and [[Elizabeth Warren]].<ref>https://www.dataforprogress.org/memos/nevada-caucus-poll</ref>
The most recent poll aggregators have suggested a pronounced lead for Sanders, with 30-32%, with Biden and Buttigieg vying for a distant second.
{| class="wikitable"
|-
! Poll aggregator !! Polling date !! [[Bernie Sanders]] !! [[Joe Biden]] !! [[Pete Buttigieg]] !! [[Elizabeth Warren]] !! [[Tom Steyer]] !! [[Amy Klobuchar]] !! Other !! Undecided
|-
| 270 to Win || February 14-21, 2020 || 30.0% || 16.7% || 14.0% || 13.7% || 9.7% || 9.7% || 1.3% || 4.9%
|-
| RealClear Politics || February 19-21, 2020 || 32.5% || 16.0% || 16.0% || 14.0% || 9.0% || 9.5% || 2.0% || 1.0%
|-
| FiveThirtyEight || to February 21, 2020 || 30.5% || 14.4% || 15.3% || 11.8% || 10.2% || 8.9% || 11.0% || --
|-
| '''Average''' || -- || 31.0% || 15.7% || 15.1% || 13.2% || 9.6% || 9.4% || 4.7% || 2.0%
|}
==References==
==References==
{{reflist}}
{{reflist}}