| Line 28: |
Line 28: |
| | | | |
| | ==Infection rate== | | ==Infection rate== |
| − | The infection rate for Wuhan coronavirus is estimated to be as high as 83%, with a mortality rate of 15%. Hence out of every 1000 people exposed to the virus, 120 will die. A non-peer reviewed study from China states one person can infect 4 others<ref>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nmrm0mk5928&feature=youtu.be</ref> (reproduction rate or RO<ref>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IUrURyXXmTw</ref>) and possibly as many as 14.<ref>Sars expert Zhong Nanshan said in a press conference on January 21 that a super-spreader had infected 14 medical staff in a hospital in Wuhan.<br>https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/3048518/coronavirus-case-load-and-death-toll-china-rise-epicentre-hubei-province</ref> There is no known treatment or cure. | + | The infection rate for Wuhan coronavirus is estimated to be as high as 83%, with a mortality rate of 15%. Hence out of every 1000 people exposed to the virus, 120 will die. A non-peer reviewed study from China states one person can infect 4 others<ref>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nmrm0mk5928&feature=youtu.be</ref> (reproduction rate or RO<ref>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IUrURyXXmTw</ref>) and possibly as many as 14.<ref>Sars expert Zhong Nanshan said in a press conference on January 21 that a super-spreader had infected 14 medical staff in a hospital in Wuhan.<br>https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/3048518/coronavirus-case-load-and-death-toll-china-rise-epicentre-hubei-province</ref> There is no known treatment or cure. |
| | + | |
| | + | ===Transmission=== |
| | + | The Hong Kong specialists wrote, |
| | + | {{quotebox|75,815 individuals (95% CrI 37,304- 130,330) had been infected in Greater Wuhan as of Jan 25, 2020. We also estimated that [[Chongqing]], Beijing, [[Shanghai]], [[Guangzhou]], and Shenzhen, had imported 461 (227–805), 113 (57–193), 98 (49–168), 111 (56–191), and 80 (40–139) infections from Wuhan, respectively.<br> |
| | + | Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen were the mainland Chinese cities that together accounted for 53% of all outbound international air travel from China and 69% of international air travel outside [[Asia]], whereas Chongqing is a large metropolis that has a population of 32 million and very high ground traffic volumes with Wuhan. Substantial epidemic take-off in these cities would thus contribute to the spread of 2019-nCoV within and outside mainland China.<ref>https://www.theautomaticearth.com/2020/02/the-big-lockdown/</ref>}} |
| | + | |
| | + | There were about 2,300 departing international air flights from the infected area before the Chinese government alerted the public of the spread of the virus. |
| | + | |
| | + | Half of all transmissible infections occur in the 24 day incubation period while a carrier shows no symptoms.<ref>https://blogaoedic.com/coronavirus-epidemic-update-15-underreporting-prevention-24-day-incubation-covid19/</ref> ''The Guardian'' reported up to 60% of the population of planet [[Earth]] could become infected.<ref>https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/11/coronavirus-expert-warns-infection-could-reach-60-of-worlds-population</ref> |
| | + | |
| | + | The virus has been found in fecal matter, meaning fumes leaking from sewage systems may spread transmission.<ref>https://www.newsweek.com/coronavirus-spread-contagious-everything-know-1486934</ref> |
| | | | |
| | ==United States== | | ==United States== |