Changes

===CDC projections===

===CDC projections===

The CDC modeled four scenarios of the spread of the disease in a presentation in  February. The worst case was 1.7 million deaths. The best was 200,000. Other infectious disease experts weren’t as optimistic:

The CDC modeled four scenarios of the spread of the disease in a presentation in  February 2020. The worst case was 1.7 million deaths. The best was 200,000. Other infectious disease experts weren’t as optimistic:

:Dr. Lawler recently presented his own “best guess” projections to American hospital and health system executives at a private webinar convened by the American Hospital Association. He estimated that some 96 million people in the United States would be infected. Five out of every hundred would need hospitalization, which would mean close to five million hospital admissions, nearly two million of those patients requiring intensive care and about half of those needing the support of ventilators.

:Dr. Lawler recently presented his own “best guess” projections to American hospital and health system executives at a private webinar convened by the American Hospital Association. He estimated that some 96 million people in the United States would be infected. Five out of every hundred would need hospitalization, which would mean close to five million hospital admissions, nearly two million of those patients requiring intensive care and about half of those needing the support of ventilators.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) has also posted projections based on the latest numbers. They’re expecting 86,000+ deaths in the next four months, with the U.S. to reach 10,000 sometime around April 5-6, 20,000 within a week after that, and 50,000 around April 24-25. If they’re correct, we’ll start the month on Wednesday with a bit less than 5,000 people dead of COVID-19 and end it with nearly 60,000 deceased. In a worst-case scenario, we could be approaching 100,000 dead — in one month.  

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) has also posted projections based on the latest numbers. They’re expecting 86,000+ deaths in the next four months, with the U.S. to reach 10,000 sometime around April 5-6, 20,000 within a week after that, and 50,000 around April 24-25. If they’re correct, we’ll start the month on Wednesday with a bit less than 5,000 people dead of COVID-19 and end it with nearly 60,000 deceased. In a worst-case scenario, we could be approaching 100,000 dead — in one month.  

Deaths will begin to slow in May thanks to the social distancing practices being followed now (and maybe because of warmer weather) but if the projection is right, we’re about to see roughly as many Americans die of this illness in the four to five weeks as died in the Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan wars combined.<ref>https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/03/30/birx-100-200000-dead-best-case-scenario-almost-perfect-social-distancing/</ref>

Deaths will begin to slow in May thanks to the social distancing practices being followed now (and maybe because of warmer weather) but if the projection is right, we’re about to see roughly as many Americans die of this illness in the four to five weeks as died in the [[Vietnam War]], [[Iraq War]], and [[Afghan War]] combined.<ref>https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/03/30/birx-100-200000-dead-best-case-scenario-almost-perfect-social-distancing/</ref>

===Response===

===Response===