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→CDC projections
:Dr. Lawler’s calculations suggested 480,000 deaths, which he said was conservative. By contrast, about 20,000 to 50,000 people have died from flu-related illnesses this season, according to the C.D.C. Unlike with seasonal influenza, the entire population is thought to be susceptible to the new coronavirus.<ref>http://archive.is/QzLH5</ref>
:Dr. Lawler’s calculations suggested 480,000 deaths, which he said was conservative. By contrast, about 20,000 to 50,000 people have died from flu-related illnesses this season, according to the C.D.C. Unlike with seasonal influenza, the entire population is thought to be susceptible to the new coronavirus.<ref>http://archive.is/QzLH5</ref>
'''IHME projections'''
'''IHME projections - Gates Foundation'''
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) also posted projections based on the latest numbers. They're expecting 86,000+ deaths in the next four months, with the U.S. to reach 10,000 sometime around April 5–6, 20,000 within a week after that, and 50,000 around April 24–25. If they're correct, we'll start the month on Wednesday with a bit less than 5,000 people dead of COVID-19 and end it with nearly 60,000 deceased. In a worst-case scenario, we could be approaching 100,000 dead — in one month.
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) also posted projections based on the latest numbers. They're expecting 86,000+ deaths in the next four months, with the U.S. to reach 10,000 sometime around April 5–6, 20,000 within a week after that, and 50,000 around April 24–25. If they're correct, we'll start the month on Wednesday with a bit less than 5,000 people dead of COVID-19 and end it with nearly 60,000 deceased. In a worst-case scenario, we could be approaching 100,000 dead — in one month.