Changes

'''Democrat:''' [[Mark Kelly]]

'''Democrat:''' [[Mark Kelly]]

The Arizona Senate election is a contest between [[Martha McSally]] and [[Mark Kelly]]. Conservapedia predicts Martha McSally will very narrowly beat Mark Kelly for the seat. Despite polling that consistently shows Kelly up in a state whose changing demographics increasingly favor Democrats,<ref>[https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/09/22/abc-news-arizonas-changing-demographics-helping-democrats/ ABC News: Arizona’s Changing Demographics Helping Democrats]</ref> it's important to note that nearly all are flawed, having improperly weighed/skewed samples. An analysis [[Essay:Analyses_of_misleading_polls#June_18.2C_2020|here]] of a Civiqs/[[Daily Kos]] poll found that after properly weighing the samples by party registration, Kelly's lead over McSally was cut roughly in half. Another examination [[Essay:An_analysis_of_another_misleading_poll|here]] of a poll conducted in an extremely poor manner showed that those concluding in Democrat leads in double digits always contain major flaws, in that being that the polling company ''is sourced in the [[United Kingdom]]'', in which case is a voter suppression attempt from an influence in the form of ''foreign election interference to boost Democrats''. An analysis of a [[CBS]] poll in mid-July [[Essay:Analyses_of_misleading_polls#July_16.2C_2020|here]] showed that after properly weighing poor sample figures, McSally was ''leading'' Kelly by one point in a likely dead heat rather than losing by four points.

The Arizona Senate election is a contest between [[Martha McSally]] and [[Mark Kelly]]. Conservapedia predicts Martha McSally will very narrowly beat Mark Kelly for the seat. Despite polling that consistently shows Kelly up in a state whose changing demographics increasingly favor Democrats,<ref>[https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/09/22/abc-news-arizonas-changing-demographics-helping-democrats/ ABC News: Arizona’s Changing Demographics Helping Democrats]</ref> it's important to note that nearly all are flawed, having improperly weighed and/or skewed samples. An analysis [[Essay:Analyses_of_misleading_polls#June_18.2C_2020|here]] of a Civiqs/[[Daily Kos]] poll found that after properly weighing the samples by party registration, Kelly's lead over McSally was cut roughly in half. Another examination [[Essay:An_analysis_of_another_misleading_poll|here]] of a poll conducted in an extremely poor manner showed that those concluding in Democrat leads in double digits always contain major flaws, in that being that the polling company ''is sourced in the [[United Kingdom]]'', in which case is a voter suppression attempt from an influence in the form of ''foreign election interference to boost Democrats''. An analysis of a [[CBS]] poll in mid-July [[Essay:Analyses_of_misleading_polls#July_16.2C_2020|here]] showed that after properly weighing poor sample figures, McSally was ''leading'' Kelly by one point in a likely dead heat rather than losing by four points.

==Arkansas==

==Arkansas==