SkipCaptcha
35,519
edits
Changes
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
mLine 40:
Line 40: − +
Essay:Analyses of misleading polls (view source)
Revision as of 19:11, October 21, 2020
, 19:11, October 21, 2020→Calculations: wording
Biden: (32% × 2%) + (28% × 97%) + (40% × 43%) = 45%
Biden: (32% × 2%) + (28% × 97%) + (40% × 43%) = 45%
</pre>
</pre>
As shown, when the samples are weighed properly, Trump is ''leading'' Biden by three percentage points, around his 2016 margin of victory in the state. However, given different circumstances in the 2020 elections, this may not be the most accurate way to predict the outcomes.
As shown, when the samples are weighed properly, Trump is ''leading'' Biden by three percentage points, around his 2016 margin of victory in the state. However, given different circumstances in the 2020 elections, this may not be the most accurate way to predict the outcomes, though it does provide a helpful insight from the [[liberal bias]] present in the polling.
The following table was listed in the 26th page of the .pdf for the Senate special election:
The following table was listed in the 26th page of the .pdf for the Senate special election: