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| | [[Pakistan]]i Prime Minister Imran Khan praised the Taliban saying they "broke the chains of slavery in the country". <ref>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYoH378Ju_Y</ref> | | [[Pakistan]]i Prime Minister Imran Khan praised the Taliban saying they "broke the chains of slavery in the country". <ref>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYoH378Ju_Y</ref> |
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| − | == Weaknesses == | + | == Mistrust, Weaknesses == |
| − | The pro-Karzai Pashtuns, Tajiks, Hazara Shiites and Uzbeks that form the ruling coalition are not united, and the government they dominate is extremely weak and poverty-stricken. The Afghan government controls only 30% of the country. The country is resource-poor—there is no oil—and the only rich resource is opium poppies. There is no educated base for a competent bureaucracy, and the army is little more than an amateur collection of tribal militias. 90% of the soldiers are illiterate, making them very hard to train to modern standards.
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| − | [[File:Destroyed village Afghanistan.jpg|right|280px]]
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| − | The rebels in the southern provinces come from the Pashtuns tribes, which form 44% of the population. Only a minority of Pashtuns support the rebels. The Taliban have a significant presence in many Pashtun villages, as well as a sanctuary in neighboring Pakistan. The number of armed insurgents has grown from 3,000 in 2006 to 15,000- 20,000 in 2009. They are locals who know the hiding places in the extremely difficult terrain, and receive protection support from some Pashtun tribes.
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| | The Afghans have a 2500-year tradition of strongly distrusting—and fighting—armed outsiders. | | The Afghans have a 2500-year tradition of strongly distrusting—and fighting—armed outsiders. |
| − | | + | ===1978-2001=== |
| | Since 1978, Afghanistan has experienced an unprecedented demographic catastrophe, with millions killed, wounded, or displaced. The Soviet invasion and occupation slaughtered 1,750,000 Afghans (from a range of 1.5-2 million killed).<ref>“Communism in Afghanistan,” in Stephane Courtois, ed., The Black Book of Communism, | | Since 1978, Afghanistan has experienced an unprecedented demographic catastrophe, with millions killed, wounded, or displaced. The Soviet invasion and occupation slaughtered 1,750,000 Afghans (from a range of 1.5-2 million killed).<ref>“Communism in Afghanistan,” in Stephane Courtois, ed., The Black Book of Communism, |
| | (Harvard University Press, 1999), p725</ref><ref name=necrometrics/> This is surely conservative when one considers all those killed by the Afghan Communists from 1978 to 1992. The subsequent civil wars (89-92 and 92–96) resulted in the deaths of another 400,000 Afghans (according to the Christian Science Monitor), with at least 50,000 killed in Kabul alone.<ref name=necrometrics>http://necrometrics.com/20c1m.htm#Afghanistan</ref> The Taliban seized power in 1996, and subsequently slaughtered hundreds of thousands. According to UNICEF figures, in 5 years of Taliban rule, over 600,000 Afghans died just from Taliban restrictions on access to healthcare for women (120,000 per year).<ref>New York Times, February 1, 2002</ref> The Taliban also executed tens of thousands throughout the country, and caused potentially scores of thousands of deaths through refusal to allow foreign aid and through miscellaneous "excess deaths." In all, the Taliban was likely responsible for over 750,000 deaths (150,000 per year) on top of nearly half a million in the civil war. The turmoil in Afghanistan from 1978 to 2001 killed nearly 3,000,000 Afghans, with 5,000,000 displaced. | | (Harvard University Press, 1999), p725</ref><ref name=necrometrics/> This is surely conservative when one considers all those killed by the Afghan Communists from 1978 to 1992. The subsequent civil wars (89-92 and 92–96) resulted in the deaths of another 400,000 Afghans (according to the Christian Science Monitor), with at least 50,000 killed in Kabul alone.<ref name=necrometrics>http://necrometrics.com/20c1m.htm#Afghanistan</ref> The Taliban seized power in 1996, and subsequently slaughtered hundreds of thousands. According to UNICEF figures, in 5 years of Taliban rule, over 600,000 Afghans died just from Taliban restrictions on access to healthcare for women (120,000 per year).<ref>New York Times, February 1, 2002</ref> The Taliban also executed tens of thousands throughout the country, and caused potentially scores of thousands of deaths through refusal to allow foreign aid and through miscellaneous "excess deaths." In all, the Taliban was likely responsible for over 750,000 deaths (150,000 per year) on top of nearly half a million in the civil war. The turmoil in Afghanistan from 1978 to 2001 killed nearly 3,000,000 Afghans, with 5,000,000 displaced. |
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| | + | ===2001-2014=== |
| | + | Karzai presidency from 22 December 2001 to 29 September 2014: |
| | + | |
| | + | The pro-Karzai Pashtuns, Tajiks, Hazara Shiites and Uzbeks that form the ruling coalition are not united, and the government they dominate is extremely weak and poverty-stricken. The Afghan government controls only 30% of the country. The country is resource-poor—there is no oil—and the only rich resource is opium poppies. There is no educated base for a competent bureaucracy, and the army is little more than an amateur collection of tribal militias. 90% of the soldiers are illiterate, making them very hard to train to modern standards. |
| | + | [[File:Destroyed village Afghanistan.jpg|right|280px]] |
| | + | The rebels in the southern provinces come from the Pashtuns tribes, which form 44% of the population. Only a minority of Pashtuns support the rebels. The Taliban have a significant presence in many Pashtun villages, as well as a sanctuary in neighboring Pakistan. The number of armed insurgents has grown from 3,000 in 2006 to 15,000- 20,000 in 2009. They are locals who know the hiding places in the extremely difficult terrain, and receive protection support from some Pashtun tribes. |
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| | == Geography == | | == Geography == |