Changes

== Discrepancy between RCP and FiveThirtyEight predictions ==

== Discrepancy between RCP and FiveThirtyEight predictions ==

[[File:FTX Democrats Ukraine.PNG|right|300px|thumb|Tens of billions of dollars were transferred to Ukraine then [[money laundering|laundered]] back to Democrats in advance of the [[2022 Midterm elections]].]]  

[[File:FTX Democrats Ukraine.PNG|right|300px|thumb|Tens of billions of dollars were transferred to Ukraine then [[money laundering|laundered]] back to Democrats in advance of the [[2022 Midterm elections]].]]  

{{cquote|FiveThirtyEight’s projections appear to be favoring Democrats for two main reasons: They don’t seem to take into account recent years’ polling biases favoring Democrats. And they don’t appear to give any weight to the notion that most late-deciding voters will likely move against the party of an unpopular president. ... RCP’s projections, on the other hand, take into account the degree to which polling five weeks out from previous three federal elections was off, and in which direction it erred.}}

{{cquote|FiveThirtyEight’s projections appear to be favoring Democrats for two main reasons: They don’t seem to take into account recent years’ polling biases favoring Democrats. And they don’t appear to give any weight to the notion that most late-deciding voters will likely move against the party of an unpopular president. ... RCP’s projections, on the other hand, take into account the degree to which polling five weeks out from previous three federal elections was off, and in which direction it erred.}}