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→Relations with the Ukrainian Maidan regime and NATO states
On October 17, 2022 the Belarus defense ministry issued a statement saying it reserved the right for preemptive strategic deterrence measures.<ref>https://tass.com/world/1523983</ref>
On October 17, 2022 the Belarus defense ministry issued a statement saying it reserved the right for preemptive strategic deterrence measures.<ref>https://tass.com/world/1523983</ref>
====Polish revanchism and NATO aggression====
President Lukashenko stated that Belarus would be forced to react militarily to any Polish annexation of western Ukraine. The stated reason is that Belarus is already surrounded by NATO members in the [[Baltic states]] and Poland on east and west, and he cannot allow the Belarus to be strategically compromised from the south as well. Poland had been promised to be rewarded with annexation of western Ukraine for its support in the NATO war in Ukraine. Belarus would be forced to react militarily to any Polish annexation of western Ukraine. Belarus cannot allow itself to be strategically compromised from the south as well.
If Poland were to annex western Ukraine on Belarus’s southern border, that puts all of western Belarus, most critically the cities of [[Brest]] and [[Grodno]], in a potential pincer should NATO choose to attack in the future. NATO can easily cut off Brest and Grodno entirely in one fell stroke.
==Defense==
==Defense==