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→User: Conservative's 1st response
'''Key point:''' RobS, we will see how accurate your predictions are. [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 13:27, August 10, 2023 (EDT)
'''Key point:''' RobS, we will see how accurate your predictions are. [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 13:27, August 10, 2023 (EDT)
== User: Conservative's 2nd response ==
Richard DeLotto on Peter Zeihan:
'''I have been following Peter Zeihan’s work since the early days of STRATFOR, which I subscribed to for two decades. We used their projections as part of our own focused scenario development and predictive process (My final employer did competitive/strategic/technical intelligence for information technology, focused on Pattern Recognition, Early Warning, Long View and Horizon Scanning and proprietary methods). Right now, Zeihan’s insights are extremely useful to me as a full time individual investor'''
Oh… I have bought multiple copies of his books over the years and given them to friends.
He seems to be a globalist who sincerely misses the Bretton Woods Era. He focuses (in my terms, not his) on inertia, scarcity and constraints. You may disagree with the prominence he gives certain data streams, but a geopolitician is going to focus on geopolitical factors.
'''He corrects his work in public, and you can see his content evolving in his books, free newsletter, and YouTubed conference presentations.''' I believe that he provides the same material to casual viewers as his paying customers— though new material in conference pitches is tailored to the needs of the specific audience.
'''PZ uses easily-checked publicly available data and conventional understandings of history and economics. Slides are attributed. Everything I have seen of his seems to be white-sourced, with no shadowy “reliable sources”.
He has a rigorous methodology that is masked by an easy communications style... my wife and I both did far too many pitches at far too many conferences for far too many years and look on his stuff with awe. I don’t think he often “shows his work”, but you can get a glimpse of the tool set in his former STRATFOR colleague Marko Papic’s Geopolitical Alpha: An Investment Framework For Predicting The Future.'''
'''I hate to say it, but it looks like his Disunited Nations thesis is playing out right in front of our eyes.'''[https://www.quora.com/How-reliable-or-biased-is-Peter-Zeihan] [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 13:38, August 10, 2023 (EDT)