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User:Conservative/Forecasting (view source)
Revision as of 05:02, September 13, 2023
, 05:02, September 13, 2023→General economic trend forecasting related info
*[https://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/ Economic collapse blog]
*[https://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/ Economic collapse blog]
== Political forecasting ==
*[https://electionbettingodds.com/ Election betting odds]
*[https://www.predictit.org/ Predicit]
1. Political expert forecasts
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f73A-HB-08M Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?] by Philip Tetlock - video
*[https://www.amazon.com/Expert-Political-Judgment-Good-Know/dp/0691128715/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1256588850&sr=8-1 Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?] by Philip E. Tetlock, Princeton University Press; New Ed edition (August 20, 2006)
'''2.''' Arthur C. Brooks wrote in his article ''Reading Too Much Political News Is Bad for Your Well-Being'': "A 2012 survey conducted by Fairleigh Dickinson University asked a sample of Americans about their news-consumption habits, and quizzed them about U.S. and international political and economic events. They found that those watching the most partisan television news sources—on both the [[leftism|left]] and the [[right-wing|right]]—were often less knowledgeable about world events than those who consumed no news at all."<ref>[https://www.theatlantic.com/family/archive/2020/10/reading-too-much-political-news-bad-happiness/616651/ Reading Too Much Political News Is Bad for Your Well-Being] by Arthur C. Brooks, The Atlantic, 2020</ref>
*[https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1745691617746796 At Least Bias Is Bipartisan: A Meta-Analytic Comparison of Partisan Bias in Liberals and Conservatives] - ''Perspectives on Psychological Science''
*[https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0963721418817755 Psychological Features of Extreme Political Ideologies]
'''3.''' [[Political betting markets]] have better accuracy than polls and pundits.
==References==
==References==
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