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User:Conservative/Forecasting (view source)
Revision as of 05:11, September 13, 2023
, 05:11, September 13, 2023→Political forecasting
1. Political expert forecasts
1. Political expert forecasts
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f73A-HB-08M Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?] by Philip Tetlock - video
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f73A-HB-08M Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?] by Philip Tetlock - video (Critical thinkers did the best. Tried to falsify their notions/forecast)
*[https://www.amazon.com/Expert-Political-Judgment-Good-Know/dp/0691128715/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1256588850&sr=8-1 Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?] by Philip E. Tetlock, Princeton University Press; New Ed edition (August 20, 2006)
*[https://www.amazon.com/Expert-Political-Judgment-Good-Know/dp/0691128715/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1256588850&sr=8-1 Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?] by Philip E. Tetlock, Princeton University Press; New Ed edition (August 20, 2006)