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User:Conservative/Forecasting (view source)
Revision as of 11:47, September 15, 2023
, 11:47, September 15, 2023→General economic trend forecasting related info
*[https://www.brownstoneresearch.com/ Brownstone Research]
*[https://www.brownstoneresearch.com/ Brownstone Research]
== Stock market direction indicators ==
=== Employment, Inflation, Consumer Activity and investor activity ===
*[http://www.investopedia.com/articles/fundamental-analysis/10/indicators-that-move-the-market.asp 4 Key Indicators That Move The Markets]
=== St. Louis Federal Reserve's Financial Stress Index and Chicago Federal Reserve's National Activity Index ===
*[http://www.marketwatch.com/story/two-indicators-on-market-direction-2012-03-30 Two indicators on market direction ]
*[https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/STLFSI St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index]
*[https://www.chicagofed.org/research/data/cfnai/current-data Chicago Federal Reserve's National Activity Index (CFNAI} - Current Data]
*[https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/cfnai/index Chicago Federal Reserve's National Activity Index]
=== VIX ===
*The Volatility Index, or VIX, measures volatility in the stock market. When the VIX is low, volatility is low. When the VIX is high volatility is high, which is usually accompanied by market fear.
The Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) creates and tracks an index know as the Volatility Index (VIX), which is based on the implied volatility of S&P 500 Index options.
*[https://www.investopedia.com/articles/optioninvestor/09/implied-volatility-contrary-indicator.asp#:~:text=Key%20Takeaways,usually%20accompanied%20by%20market%20fear. The Vix Index - Investopedia] - The VIX is used as a contrary market indicator, how institutional sentiment can be measured by VIX, and why an understanding of the VIX tends to favor long and short puts.
'''KEY TAKEAWAYs'''
*The Volatility Index, or VIX, measures volatility in the stock market.
*When the VIX is low, volatility is low. When the VIX is high volatility is high, which is usually accompanied by market fear.
*Buying when the VIX is high and selling when it is low is a strategy, but one that needs to be considered against other factors and indicators.
*[http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=^VIX+Interactive#{%22allowChartStacking%22:true} VIX Chart]
*[http://www.investopedia.com/articles/optioninvestor/03/091003.asp Determining market direction with VIX]
== General economic trend forecasting related info ==
== General economic trend forecasting related info ==