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User:Conservative/Forecasting (view source)
Revision as of 07:48, January 30, 2024
, 07:48, January 30, 2024→General forecasting
*[https://lifeclub.org/books/superforecasting-philip-e-tetlock-and-dan-gardner-review-summary Superforecasting Summary and Review by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner]
*[https://lifeclub.org/books/superforecasting-philip-e-tetlock-and-dan-gardner-review-summary Superforecasting Summary and Review by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner]
*[https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/06/how-to-predict-the-future/588040/ The Peculiar Blindness of Experts] - Credentialed authorities are comically bad at predicting the future. But reliable forecasting is possible.
*[https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/06/how-to-predict-the-future/588040/ The Peculiar Blindness of Experts] - <big>'''Key points:'''</big> Credentialed authorities are comically bad at predicting the future. But reliable forecasting is possible.
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcnj61KSOhM Professor Philip Tetlock on His Groundbreaking Research About 'Expert Judgment'] - video
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcnj61KSOhM Professor Philip Tetlock on His Groundbreaking Research About 'Expert Judgment'] - video