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Line 2: − [[File:Superforecasters.png|right|500px|thumbnail|[https://goodjudgment.com/ The Good Judgment Project] (which started in 2011), which demonstrates that well-chosen selected amateur forecasters who demonstrated their ability to accurately forecast were often more accurate than subject matter experts.<ref>"[https://www.economist.com/news/books-and-arts/21666098-forecasting-talent-luckily-it-can-be-learned-unclouded-vision Unclouded vision]". ''The Economist''. September 26, 2015. Retrieved September 26, 2015.</ref>]]+ Line 18:
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→Characteristics of excellent forecasters according to data from the Good Judgement Project
== Characteristics of excellent forecasters according to data from the Good Judgement Project ==
== Characteristics of excellent forecasters according to data from the Good Judgement Project ==
[[Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction]] is a 2016 book about [[forecasting]] written by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner.
[[Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction]] is a 2016 book about [[forecasting]] written by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner.
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[[File:Superforecasters.png|right|500px|thumbnail|[https://goodjudgment.com/ The Good Judgment Project] (which started in 2011), which demonstrates that well-chosen selected amateur forecasters who demonstrated their ability to accurately forecast were often more accurate than subject matter experts.<ref>"[https://www.economist.com/news/books-and-arts/21666098-forecasting-talent-luckily-it-can-be-learned-unclouded-vision Unclouded vision]". ''The Economist''. September 26, 2015. Retrieved September 26, 2015.</ref>]]
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[[File:Mind of a superforecaster.png|thumbnail|center|500px|The mind of a superforecaster<ref>[https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/article/special_report/2021/06/05/The-Superforecasters.html The Superforecasters]</ref>]]
[[File:Mind of a superforecaster.png|thumbnail|center|500px|The mind of a superforecaster<ref>[https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/article/special_report/2021/06/05/The-Superforecasters.html The Superforecasters]</ref>]]
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