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→Characteristics of excellent forecasters according to data from the Good Judgement Project
Characteristics of "superforecasters":<ref>[https://jaknguyen.medium.com/superforecasting-the-art-and-science-of-prediction-summary-7d2bb0eea2e1 Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction — Summary]</ref><ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20180719205012/https://research-doc.credit-suisse.com/docView?language=ENG&format=PDF&source_id=em&document_id=1053681521&serialid=gRAGx5o9KjpeAGBLPq7bpyJRa6r6fj06KjHB6PGBbGU%3D Sharpening Your Forecasting Skills], Credit Suisse's overview of the Good Judgement Project's research and the work of Philip E. Tetlock</ref>
Characteristics of "superforecasters":<ref>[https://jaknguyen.medium.com/superforecasting-the-art-and-science-of-prediction-summary-7d2bb0eea2e1 Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction — Summary]</ref><ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20180719205012/https://research-doc.credit-suisse.com/docView?language=ENG&format=PDF&source_id=em&document_id=1053681521&serialid=gRAGx5o9KjpeAGBLPq7bpyJRa6r6fj06KjHB6PGBbGU%3D Sharpening Your Forecasting Skills], Credit Suisse's overview of the Good Judgement Project's research and the work of Philip E. Tetlock</ref>
- Temperament: Cautious, Humble, Non-[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Determinism Determinist].
- Temperament: Cautious (Many things are uncertain), Humble (Reality is infinitely complex), Non-[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Determinism Determinist].
- Cognition: [[Openness|Open-Minded]] (Beliefs are hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be protected), Intelligent, Curious (Intellectually curious, enjoy puzzles and mental challenges), Reflective ([[Introversion|Introspective]] and self-critical), Numerate.
- Cognition: [[Openness|Open-Minded]] (Beliefs are hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be protected), Intelligent, Curious (Intellectually curious, enjoy puzzles and mental challenges), Reflective ([[Introversion|Introspective]] and self-critical), Numerate.