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2023 Ukraine summer counteroffensive (view source)
Revision as of 08:08, March 14, 2024
, 08:08, March 14, 2024→WaPo blames US & UK planning for the disaster
The new radio channel made it very convenient for AFU to surrender safely—which had classically been one of the main barriers preventing their surrender. They feared by going out into an open field, etc., they would be shot by jumpy snipers or anyone not seeing their makeshift white flag. The new channel allows them to fully coordinate the surrender with opposing Russian forces, who give them instructions where and how to do it and then inform all nearby friendlies not to fire on the Ukrainian troops.
The new radio channel made it very convenient for AFU to surrender safely—which had classically been one of the main barriers preventing their surrender. They feared by going out into an open field, etc., they would be shot by jumpy snipers or anyone not seeing their makeshift white flag. The new channel allows them to fully coordinate the surrender with opposing Russian forces, who give them instructions where and how to do it and then inform all nearby friendlies not to fire on the Ukrainian troops.
==''WaPo'' blames US & UK planning for the disaster==
==Post mortems==
===''WaPo'' blames US & UK planning for the disaster===
In December 2023 the ''Washington Post'' released a two-article series, ''Miscalculations, Divisions Marked Offensive Planning By U.S., Ukraine'' and ''In Ukraine, A War Of Incremental Gains As Counteroffensive Stalls''. It dispenses equal blame on the US and UIK planning of the whole mess and the Ukrainian execution of it:<ref>[https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/12/the-war-in-ukraine-is-done.html The War In Ukraine Is Done], Moon of Alabama, December 05, 2023. moonofalabama.org</ref>
In December 2023 the ''Washington Post'' released a two-article series, ''Miscalculations, Divisions Marked Offensive Planning By U.S., Ukraine'' and ''In Ukraine, A War Of Incremental Gains As Counteroffensive Stalls''. It dispenses equal blame on the US and UIK planning of the whole mess and the Ukrainian execution of it:<ref>[https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/12/the-war-in-ukraine-is-done.html The War In Ukraine Is Done], Moon of Alabama, December 05, 2023. moonofalabama.org</ref>
{{quotebox-float|'''Miscalculations, divisions marked offensive planning by U.S., Ukraine'''
{{quotebox-float|'''Miscalculations, divisions marked offensive planning by U.S., Ukraine'''
When allies said no, she said, “we heard … ‘We are fine that your soldiers will be dying without support from the sky.’”<ref>[https://sonar21.com/dissecting-the-washington-posts-analysis-of-ukraines-failed-counter-offensive-part-2/ DISSECTING THE WASHINGTON POST’S “ANALYSIS” OF UKRAINE’S FAILED COUNTER OFFENSIVE — PART 2], Larry Johnson, 8 December 2023. sonar21.com</ref> }}
When allies said no, she said, “we heard … ‘We are fine that your soldiers will be dying without support from the sky.’”<ref>[https://sonar21.com/dissecting-the-washington-posts-analysis-of-ukraines-failed-counter-offensive-part-2/ DISSECTING THE WASHINGTON POST’S “ANALYSIS” OF UKRAINE’S FAILED COUNTER OFFENSIVE — PART 2], Larry Johnson, 8 December 2023. sonar21.com</ref> }}
===French intel===
===NATO war in Ukraine===
{{See also|NATO war in Ukraine}}
According to the French ''Marianne'' paper in March 2024, a secret series of 'assessments' by the French military written in the fall of 2023, following [[2023 Ukraine counteroffensive|Kiev's disastrous ground offensive]], concluded that: "[[Ukraine]] cannot win this [[war]] militarily." The report praises the [[Russian]] forces as the new “tactical and technical” standard of how to run defensive operations and debunks the media myth of “meat assaults."<ref>https://www.marianne.net/monde/europe/guerre-en-ukraine-endurance-russe-echec-de-la-contre-offensive-ce-que-cache-le-virage-de-macron</ref> A summary of the report states:
{{quotebox-float|"While [[Macron]] might be preparing something disastrous, the French Armed Forces are trying to sound the alarm through the French [[media]].
In the French publication ''Marianne'', which is very close to the French political class, French officers speaking on condition of anonymity spoke about their impressions of the [[war in Ukraine]], the [[AFU]] and the Russian Armed Forces.
In summary, the officers speaking to the publication rated the Russian Army very highly. The Russian Army, contrary to [[Liberal media|Western media]], trains its new recruits properly, organizes rotation of personnel and units in the frontline, and always mixes veterans with new recruits so the new soldiers can learn more quickly.
By contrast the Ukrainians blew their best and last chance for victory in the [[2023 Ukraine counteroffensive|Summer 2023 offensive]]. The French Armed Forces also estimate Ukraine needs 30,000 - 35,000 new conscripts or recruits every month to keep their force levels steady but currently the Ukrainians are only inducting half that number.
The article assesses that there is no conceivable path currently to a Ukrainian military victory."<ref>DDGeopolitics</ref>}}
The report goes on, no less pessimistically:
{{quotebox-float|"Planning, imagined in [[Kiev]] and in the [[Western alliance|Western staffs]] has proved "disastrous".
The planners thought that as soon as the first lines of defense of Russians would have taken place, the whole of the front would collapse [...] These preliminary phases of the fundamental have been made without consideration of the [[moral]] forces of the enemy in defensive: that is to say, the will of the Russian soldier to cling to the ground,"}}
notes the report referring to "the failure of the planning" of the western camp. The report continues with praise for old reliable Soviet legacy gear:
{{quotebox-float|"With no air support, and with [[Wester alliance|Western equipment]] that was disparate and less efficient than the old Soviet equipment ("run-down, easy to maintain, and suitable for use in degraded mode", the report mentions), the Ukrainian troops had no hope of breaking through."}}
==References==
==References==